After 2022 election day, we see what appears to be a tied or Dem +1 Senate, and a very slight Republican majority in the House. Yawn.
For me, the most interesting takeaway is DeSantis. Not only did he win his race, not only did he drag Rubio across the finish line to handily win his senate race, not only did DeSantis absolutely crush Crist by about a 20 point margin, but he also flipped Miami red. That, combined with Trump-endorsed candidates having a tepid performance in their own races means that DeSantis is now the de facto leader of the Republican Party hopes for 2024. Betting Odds has confirmed this as well, with DeSantis now decisively beating both Biden and Trump. (I do believe Biden will be the Democrat nominee in 2024. Nobody wants Kamala, and Biden continues to be the highest performer in polls against all possible opponents.) DeSantis is relatively young, behaves himself better on social media, plays way better with suburban women, and is the #1 standard bearer for resisting Covid tyranny.
Since Arizona's voting machines mysteriously broke the day of the election in Arizona, we won't know if Kari Lake will win her race for some time. If she doesn't, nothing would then stop her from being the perfect running mate for 2024.
The question then becomes, could DeSantis/Lake beat Trump in the primary? Before yesterday, I would've said no. Today, yes.
This post was edited by Thebarba on Nov 9 2022 01:37pm