Here is the current map according to the 538 polling average:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/r9DWl

Here is the current map according to the RCP polling average:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/26Rko
Differences here are AZ, MN, NV, and PA

Red: Trump 10+%
Dark Pink: Trump 5 - 9.99%
Pink: Trump 2.5 - 4.99%
Brown: Less than 2.5% in either direction
Light Blue: Biden 2.5 - 4.99%
Blue: Biden 5 - 9.99%
Dark Blue: Biden 10+%

Now, that you know the ranges, it's time to make some decisions. What will the final projected count be? Please make each state red/dark blue.

Here is my prediction:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/eVepL

Biden 357, Trump 181.

I made some aggressive picks but this is what I'm sticking with. Given how close some states are, a 1-2% swing in either direction could cause a 100 point EV swing. Florida is my least confident state followed by Georgia.

This post was edited by thundercock on Oct 31 2020 03:09pm

I came to almost the same conclusion on pretty much every except on Iowa. So 351.

Biden 330-359 EVs

Show your map!

Here's mine, Biden 290 - Trump 248:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/ZOeOz


I'm most unsure about Iowa and Arizona. I could, however, very easily see Biden winning NC or GA. And I wouldnt be surprised by Trump holding AZ, or winning Nevada. Trump pulling off the win in PA wouldnt shock me either, but I have a hard time seeing Trump pull that off while simultaneously holding all the other parts of his map (AZ, FL, GA, NC, OH) together. Trump's only remaining path to reelection is just so fragile and tenuous...

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 31 2020 04:09pm

Don't call it a nightmare, it's the future you chose.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/mVN7R

Interesting. Why is WI blue but MI/MN red? Everything else seems to be within the realm of reason.

There were several recent polls which showed Biden with a gargantuan lead in Wisconsin, I think ABC News/Washington Post had him up 17. This is probably due to WI currently being the epicenter of the covid crisis in the U.S.
They currently have the highest cases per capita, so that's definitely the issue on everybody's mind over there.

edit: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/wisconsin/

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Oct 31 2020 05:31pm