Quote (majorblood @ Nov 3 2016 06:10am)
what makes you believe Johnson voters are more likely to vote for Clinton over Trump? How about Stein voters? Druid-grandma prefers President Trump
Only anecdotes as far as proof, but the idea has been permeating in the media on both sides of the lane that I've heard. The basic sentiment is that the race tightening has an effect on Democrat motivation, the real KO blow would have been convincing the dems they had it won while slightly edging them out.
My personal opinion? This is the final blow to Trump by the media. No longer happy with simply over-covering his every word and over stating the importance if his effect they've now gone into their final phase, convincing America the race is as close as possible to bring people out to the voting booth. As Trump voters are fervant and his support is more solid trends would suggest that's not good for him in terms of lines. As they're essentially only running polls that show him 1-2 points closer than he is in a lot of cases, and it drives him another 1-2 points off the mark.
But hey, maybe he's surging and the silent Trump vote is just another reason for pundits everywhere to be wrong. But people who handle millions of dollars in bets, aka "that's called business", are about 77% sure.