Quote (zarkadon @ Jul 4 2018 10:23am)
Question for my British friends:
Why are Lib-Dems doing so poorly? (last elections and the polls that have been coming out since then)
Both May and Corbyn seem to generate a lot of animadversion, with many analysts claiming they are holding back their respective parties. Tories seem pretty weak and unpopular, holding onto a good position mostly just because the opposition is lost. It seems like a perfect scenario for a third party to shine and form an alternative. If Lib-Dems got 23% of the votes with Clegg, one would think they should at least be nearing those results in the current scenario. I know that backing Cameron hurt them, but come on, it has been a few years and the political landscape has completely changed with Brexit.
So, I don't understand why no polls today give them over a 10% of the vote. If people are so pissed off or unmotivated with the two main parties, other parties should be drawing voter attention... even if it's just in the form of protest answers in polls. Also, aren't Lib-Dems the most anti-Brexit party? If almost half of the UK voters wanted to remain, can't they channel that sentiment?
Enlighten me, mates.
Clegg got 23% of the votes because young people came out in droves to support a charismatic, young leader that promised the abolition of tuition fees, and was starkly juxtaposed from the then Blairite government led by Gordon Brown.
The resulting hung parliament paved the way for the Tory-Lib Dem coalition government, which was dominated by the Tories and was reflected in the coalition's austerity policies and, even more importantly, the tripling of tuition fees from £3000 p/y to £9000. Young lib dem voters felt betrayed.
Fast forward to 2015: Ed Miliband leads a Labour party that is firmly left wing, a feat that hasn't been accomplished since Michael Foot in the 80's. Cameron, for all his faults, has done partly what he set out to do in 2010 and offers a reliable status quo option, even for centre-left voters that thought Miliband was a goof and not prime minister material (and there were many). So there were plenty of reasons for Lib Dems to lose their young base and have voters snatched from both sides of the political spectrum. The resulting outcome of that election was the complete destruction of the lib dems.
In the 2017 general election, lib dem leader Tim Farron was caught up in a huge scandal regarding his attitude towards homosexuals. Voting for an evangelical christian that refused to say gay sex isn't a sin didn't go down too well with young voters here.
To answer your question in light of the above - Corbyn is an extremely charismatic and relatable leader that most young people are drawn to, it's no surprise he holds onto the young vote despite many of his hard left cultists preferring the staunchly pro-EU stance of the lib dems. The lib dems have a glaring issue in their party resulting from those with centrist libertarian views (Maajid Nawaz, for example) and those further to the left. Under Vince Cable they'll lose some of the former's support. In addition, as our German friend touched upon, centre and centre left voters that make up the majority of the electorate are alienated by an open border policy.
This post was edited by dro94 on Jul 4 2018 12:22pm