Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Mar 13 2024 12:27am)
What is the standard variation in deaths for what is happening in Gaza?
Why would the deaths of women and children be correlated in daily reports? That assumes deaths are being reported as they happen and not back logged or facing any number of other logistical hurdles in reporting which they certainly would be.
Israel is bombing residential buildings all day
while the men hide in tunnels,why wouldn't the deaths be negatively correlated between men and women? Not to mention the absolutely insane demographics of Gaza to begin with.
https://i.imgur.com/ojfzRPf.jpeghttps://i.imgur.com/BtCXHx9.jpeg^ can you see the difference between these figures?
So they're digging women and children out of the rubble at the same time, but they're not counting them simultaneously? It shouldn't matter if they're weeks delayed, the women and children live in the same residential units. The fact that there is no correlation between women and children deaths is a bright red flag.
You're misunderstanding what the negative correlation implies. On days where Israeli is attacking (targeting fighters), you'd expect to see a positive correlation between men killed and non-combatants. The reasoning is simple, when Israel is trying to kill fighters, there are going to also be incidental deaths. That isn't what the Hamas-published numbers suggest. They imply that on days where fewer men are killed (than normal), more women are killed instead. That makes sense only if Israel is intentionally trying to kill non-combatants and not kill Hamas men.
I appreciate your acknowledgement (bold) that "men" and "fighters" are synonymous, i.e. all Gazan men are Hamas.
This post was edited by bogie160 on Mar 13 2024 10:06am