I agree.

On the Black = silly part, or on Trump's chances?

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 7 2018 08:36am

You seem to be a reasonable person (i'm serious) - Who do you think they'll run in 2020?

I'm very curious to see who they trot out. It seems like a wide open field.

well say about him what you will, but he sure knows how to pick a weak opponent. rooting for the corrupt and uninspiring democratic establishment is certainly the republicans' most promising approach for 2020...

The small construction you did in your skimpy mind. Better to ignore randoms like you.
Im reading right, left, and centrist papers. bb

I think they got a black eye, but it seemed to be more in the midwest and less on the battleground states and texas. Democrats pumped ludicrous amounts of resources into contesting those failed races and were running against unpopular candidates. For human slug Ted Cruz to fend off a charismatic guy with the biggest war chest in the country shows that Texas is impregnable. But they lost a ton of ground in the midwest at the same time, lots of house seats and gubernatorial races and state legislatures.

Its probably better for the republicans this way, since it sets up favorable grounds for 2020 in both the senate and presidential elections and they have the same chance in the house as ever. When it comes to battlegrounds in the electoral college, they'd be much happier to hang onto Florida than Wisconsin.
so yeah I echo you and Icemage in saying Trumps reelection odds probably went up even with the republican loss

This post was edited by Goomshill on Nov 7 2018 08:52am

They'll run another shrill, unlikable candidate like Warren and lose again.

worth pointing out that democrats did pass amendment 4 in Florida which restores voting rights to felons, which might be as many as 1 million floridians, up to 5% of black floridians included, and felons largely vote democratic. But even given the ability to vote, they largely don't vote. So I don't know what difference that could make in 2020

i think that it's somewhere between % we see in states where they can vote and always have been able to, and a wave. in the first few elections i expect it to be a lot, 2020 especially. then it will quickly taper off. not a good electoral hurdle for trump to be sure, that state is always the slimmest of margins.

estimates are that it could add about 100k net votes to the democrats, or slightly more than that. given how tight races in florida tend to be, this could have huge implications.