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#9241
Oct 19 2016 10:54pm
Quote (Voyaging @ Oct 19 2016 10:40pm)
Yeah there's nothing wrong with this. They adjusted it like I said. Read the paragraph right above the red text.

If they didn't adjust it it'd be 25.9% Trump 51.3% Clinton.

I guess I shouldn't have expected much from a guy who plays a retard for fame and money. "Trump has a 100% chance of winning the election"


The methodology is pretty suspect if their pool is so disproportionate to the state makeup. Its a pretty reasonable assumption that they polled in a progressive city thats majority democrat where the rural areas are heavily republican, and thus skewed the poll not just in terms of ratio of dems/republicans, but how radical/reactionary they are respectively, because you'd get more liberal democrats and progressive republicans alike in such areas.
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#9242
Oct 19 2016 10:59pm


holy damn, donna getting rekt
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#9243
Oct 19 2016 11:01pm
Quote (Voyaging @ Oct 19 2016 08:40pm)
Yeah there's nothing wrong with this. They adjusted it like I said. Read the paragraph right above the red text.

If they didn't adjust it it'd be 25.9% Trump 51.3% Clinton.

I guess I shouldn't have expected much from a guy who plays a retard for fame and money. "Trump has a 100% chance of winning the election"

"weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote" is not adjusting to fit their extremely skewed sample of 58% democrats to 24% republicans in a R+5 state. They sampled D+34 in an R+5 state, this isn't a reasonable sample of the state but a cherrypick of democrats to attempt to put Hillary in the lead.
Quote (Goomshill @ Oct 19 2016 08:54pm)
The methodology is pretty suspect if their pool is so disproportionate to the state makeup. Its a pretty reasonable assumption that they polled in a progressive city thats majority democrat where the rural areas are heavily republican, and thus skewed the poll not just in terms of ratio of dems/republicans, but how radical/reactionary they are respectively, because you'd get more liberal democrats and progressive republicans alike in such areas.


the data reveals they grossly oversample people with college degrees
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#9244
Oct 19 2016 11:06pm
Quote (majorblood @ Oct 20 2016 01:01am)
"weights adjusted for nonresponse and likelihood to vote" is not adjusting to fit their extremely skewed sample of 58% democrats to 24% republicans in a R+5 state. They sampled D+34 in an R+5 state, this isn't a reasonable sample of the state but a cherrypick of democrats to attempt to put Hillary in the lead.


It is adjusted to fit the disproportionate sample, though.
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#9245
Oct 19 2016 11:10pm
Quote (low-ki @ Oct 19 2016 11:59pm)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVnkPuWvjLg

holy damn, donna getting rekt



The lying is real.
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#9246
Oct 19 2016 11:11pm
Quote (low-ki @ Oct 19 2016 11:59pm)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVnkPuWvjLg

holy damn, donna getting rekt



Lmao, she's bold face lying, a common theme on that side
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#9247
Oct 20 2016 03:42am
Quote (xEternity @ Oct 8 2016 02:58am)
Republican senator Mark Kirk.:

@realDonaldTrump should drop out. @GOP should engage rules for emergency replacement.




D.Trump will not even attend the big rally down @ Wisconsin with P.Ryan,,,,:

Paul Ryan cancels event with Trump tomorrow, but won't say whether he continues to endorse him

and...

Donald Trump Tried to Fire Nancy O’Dell After She Rejected His Sexual Advances

Video of the Republican talking about trying to have sex with a married female journalist adds new context to his reported effort to have her kicked off of his Miss USA pageant.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/article...source=twitter


LOLLLL

oh boy, poor republicans, what a train wreck....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1w2T1owSV0U

Anyone want that man to be president? Disgusting.


Does an alpha than can get laid trigger you?

Typical demokkkRATic beta.
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#9248
Oct 20 2016 08:25am
I love watching people who know fuck all about statistics trying to lie to themselves about rigged polls.

Sure don't see majorblood trying to put down any FG bets tho.
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#9249
Oct 20 2016 08:32am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Oct 20 2016 08:25am)
I love watching people who know fuck all about statistics trying to lie to themselves about rigged polls.

Sure don't see majorblood trying to put down any FG bets tho.


That's only because 144k isn't enough to cover the odds for anything more than a 100 fg bet.

last night they were talking about a 400+ pt HRC electoral count, i mean wtf? Sure he stabilized a bit to stop the slide somewhat but he didn't gain a single electoral vote last night, and IMO hrc cemented his loss in Penn with the crocodile tears line...
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#9250
Oct 20 2016 11:20am




Two of Trump's biggest platforms (that crime is getting worse and immigration is getting worse) are debunked with a quick Google search.

Violent crime per capita is the best it has been in decades and is getting better, and illegal immigration has decreased since 2007 and has leveled off.
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