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#91
Nov 3 2020 04:56pm
Quote (cambovenzi @ Nov 3 2020 02:45pm)
NYTimes falsely claimed "The role of declaring the winner of a presidential election in the U.S. falls to the news media"


I think it depends what you mean by "declare a winner." Results aren't certified until late November/early December and THAT'S the official thing. Everything else is simply "projected" winner which definitely is a media sort of thing.
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#92
Nov 3 2020 04:58pm
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#93
Nov 3 2020 05:02pm
Quote (cambovenzi @ Nov 3 2020 04:59pm)
You are on this again?

Biden is very obviously showing serious signs of cognitive decline and impairment over and over again. He hides out in his basement and has to have his wife prop him up for an occasional interview or have it heavily edited.

In addition to being an absolutely garbage candidate on the issues, it should be concerning that he could be nominated to be the next president.

Pretending Trump is the same or worse when a new gaffe is brought up is a dishonest deflection.
No, saying 'tim apple' a year and a half ago is not just as bad or worse.


Dishonest AF
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#94
Nov 3 2020 05:02pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 3 Nov 2020 23:04)
I've been checking up on that site now and then and i'm really curious how accurate it actually is. I suppose we'll know some time tonight.

Here's the link again.

https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/


Now that I have looked into it again, I think this site suffers from a fatal flaw: the assumption that NPA's will break down proportionally to the partisan margin in their respective county. In other words: his entire methodology is good at predicting an election which is decided by base turnout, but sucks at detecting voter movement based on persuasion.

There are polls which show Biden having a big advantage with independents this year, others show them almost tied in FL. This website tells us how the FL race will end up if the latter scenario for the breakdown of indies is true, but it will underestimate Biden substantially if Biden's attempts at persuading seniors, moderates and unaffilated young voters were successful.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Nov 3 2020 05:02pm
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#95
Nov 3 2020 05:03pm
Quote (Skinned @ Nov 3 2020 06:02pm)
Dishonest AF


Dishonest AF calling me Dishonest AF because you don't like what i said
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#96
Nov 3 2020 05:03pm
T minus four hours until Florida sets the stage
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#97
Nov 3 2020 05:04pm
Quote (Odell @ Nov 3 2020 05:49pm)
when do we know who winner?



If trump loses florida we will know biden wins immediately

If trump wins florida it cpuld be anywhere between same night and two weeks
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#98
Nov 3 2020 05:05pm
Quote (cambovenzi @ Nov 3 2020 06:03pm)
Dishonest AF calling me Dishonest AF because you don't like what i said


Calling you dishonest because you're pushing the debunked narrative that Biden has a neurocognitive disorder.

This post was edited by Skinned on Nov 3 2020 05:06pm
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#99
Nov 3 2020 05:08pm
@NateSilver538 3m
Nothing I've seen or heard about the exit polls give me confidence that they've figured out how to balance the different types of votes that are coming in. Lots of weird, somewhat incongruous results based on what's been reported. I would ignore.

Quote (Skinned @ Nov 3 2020 06:05pm)
Calling you dishonest because you're pushing the debunked narrative that Biden has a neurocognitive disorder.


Oh you are just a reality denier. makes sense
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#100
Nov 3 2020 05:09pm
Quote (IceMage @ 3 Nov 2020 17:58)
https://twitter.com/Yair_Rosenberg/status/1323667600350523392

Thread on good news.


from that thread:

https://mobile.twitter.com/Mr_Berman/status/1323683401845608449

yeah.. contrast this with the biden/hillary/swamp demon supporters rioting the last 4 years straight
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