Quote (Black XistenZ @ Jan 8 2021 05:41pm)
They ran as the incumbent party during the largest public health and economic crisis in a century, on which their administration had severely dropped the ball. They ran in an election where their standard bearer at the top of the ticket was a uniquely polarizing guy whose approval ratings were badly under water. They ran an awful campaign, devoid of substance and policy, committed many tactical and strategic errors. The BLM protests over the summer energized the opposition's base even further and shifted the conversation to a topic which was very unfavorable for the GOP. The Democrats had a huge money advantage, they outspent Republicans by a margin of 2:1 in many races. The mainstream media and Big Tech were dropping any pretense of neutrality and threw their full weight behind propping up Democrats. America's institutions and elites were rallying behind one candidate (Biden) and in opposition to the other (Trump) to an absolutely unprecedented degree, it was even more one-sided than in 2016.
Despite all of that, Trump came within 0.6% of winning reelection, the GOP made significant inroads in both the House and state legislatures, and seemed to significantly overperform expectations in the Senate (until the GA runoff debacle). They improved their margins with every non-white demographic there is, and saw the largest movement of inner cities toward them in over a decade. Of course nobody talks about places like LA county moving 5 percentage points to the right when they're still D+60 or so, but this kind of movement is actually super important for the future of the GOP (if they can replicate it).
Okay, but those are a bunch of other reasons why Republicans should've done worse, which is different from polling data.