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#81
Nov 2 2020 03:05pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 2 2020 02:52pm)
Nah, Georgia has been trending to the left at a more rapid pace than FL or NC, so I could see it ending up to the left of these two states. Not super likely, but plausible.
I have a hard time seeing Trump losing GA while holding AZ though.


These results in blue-trending, diversifying and very suburban southern states can plausibly be detached from trends in very white and small-town-heavy midwestern states. So if both these opposite trends end up occuring in full force, a map where Trump wins some of the midwestern battlegrounds while Biden breaks through in some of the southern states is possible.


Az is full of geezers
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#82
Nov 2 2020 03:10pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Nov 2 2020 03:52pm)
Plz no. A race that close will cause mayhem.

I honestly hope for a landslide regardless of the winner


Same. Anything that goes to the courts is just gonna be hell and I'm gonna have to go buy black clothes lol
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#83
Nov 2 2020 03:27pm
Quote (Mangix @ Nov 2 2020 04:10pm)
Same. Anything that goes to the courts is just gonna be hell and I'm gonna have to go buy black clothes lol


There is a nonzero possibility of Nancy Pelosi being president

Truly dark days these are
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#84
Nov 2 2020 03:30pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Nov 2 2020 04:27pm)
There is a nonzero possibility of Nancy Pelosi being president

Truly dark days these are


That same % has existed for quite a while now
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#85
Nov 2 2020 03:40pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ 2 Nov 2020 22:27)
There is a nonzero possibility of Nancy Pelosi being president

Truly dark days these are


To be honest, I think I would prefer a president Pelosi over a president Harris. Pelosi is the embodiment of an out of touch limousine liberal, but at least she isnt as authoritarian as Harris. And she'd definitely be gone after 4 years, while Harris might be around much longer.
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#86
Nov 2 2020 03:41pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 2 2020 12:52pm)
Nah, Georgia has been trending to the left at a more rapid pace than FL or NC, so I could see it ending up to the left of these two states. Not super likely, but plausible.
I have a hard time seeing Trump losing GA while holding AZ though.


These results in blue-trending, diversifying and very suburban southern states can plausibly be detached from trends in very white and small-town-heavy midwestern states. So if both these opposite trends end up occuring in full force, a map where Trump wins some of the midwestern battlegrounds while Biden breaks through in some of the southern states is possible.


GA is the one state where I'm bullish on Biden. I get the feeling that Trump may win FL but not GA. Iowa is a bit skewed b/c of the latest Selzer poll. I think IA is about 1 point likelier for Biden than OH.
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#87
Nov 2 2020 03:47pm
Quote (thundercock @ 2 Nov 2020 22:41)
GA is the one state where I'm bullish on Biden. I get the feeling that Trump may win FL but not GA. Iowa is a bit skewed b/c of the latest Selzer poll. I think IA is about 1 point likelier for Biden than OH.


FL is the one state where I'm bullish on Trump. I have no fucking idea about how GA, NC and AZ will go, or how their relative ranking will look like.


Perhaps GA is overrated because of the close 2018 gubernatorial race. Brian Kemp is a total boor, maybe he was just a bad candidate. Or Abrams a good one.
Either way, polls show the GA race being slightly tighter than NC/AZ/FL.
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