Quote (thesnipa @ Feb 29 2016 02:39pm)
everyone keeps talking about this spiral, it just confuses me. Did the GOP not have resounding wins in senate and gubernatorial elections? Don't they currently hold the house?
on top of that isnt the race predicted to be fairly close regardless of which candidates win the primaries? unlike for instance Romney-Obama
i mean if you see a lack of leadership and lack of control as regression thats understandable. But those types of shortcomings can be reversed in short order. obviously i dont think Paul Ryan is the man to rally back behind.
conservative ideology still rules in the south, and that trend doesn't seem to be reversing by any major magnitude.
The demographics are significantly changing. Even Texas is slated to turn purple soon. The old guard of the Republican party is also dieing at an alarming rate, meaning the party as it currently exists cannot maintain. They still control the house because they gerrymandered the crap out of it.
They only won back the senate this last round because it was almost entirely southern states where they have an advantage. This year won't be so forgiving.
Quote (IceMage @ Feb 29 2016 02:35pm)
You keep looking in the past as evidence of why we should have expected Trump to do well. It's just not true. No candidate who has said so many ridiculous things has done so well. All the fringe candidates faded away in the past.
Additionally, primary debates have always been tough. This year Trump has dragged them lower than usual.
You know what that leadership is called? The presidency. This year is evidence that the Democrat's are just as splintered as the Republicans. Socialists vs establishment. The young and white have rejected Hillary. Turnout isn't great either.
You really shouldn't reach so hard, you'll pull a muscle.
Nobody thought Trump would do well, but a lot of people thought the anti-establishment candidates would do well. This isn't just about Trump either, Rubio is currently third and well behind Cruz. Even if Trump wasn't in the race it would have been Cruz and Paul out front, both still pathetic candidates. Rubio is the ONLY person they have who has any chance at winning for the establishment as a moderate, and he never really stood a chance to begin with.
This post was edited by Thor123422 on Feb 29 2016 02:46pm