Quote (AspenSniper @ Oct 27 2016 01:45pm)
I did a map today and I had Trump winning. Here are the only states that matter:
NV, AZ, CO, IA, WI, MI, FL, GA, OH, PA, NC, VA, NH
I think Clinton will take CO, NV, VA, PA, NH, MI, but I have Trump winning AZ, FL, OH, NC, and GA. This is actually a 269-269 tie if this happens, but assuming since NE and ME split, it could easily go Trump.
I get that he is about a billion popular votes away from winning, but when I break it down, I really think he wins.
The states that'll be closest I think will be IA, OH, PA, WI and GA. I think GA will stay red even though it's trending blue, kinda like Florida. Might all come down to Ohio, but I don't think Paul Ryan can thwart Trump badly enough. Trump takes the entire south, Clinton takes the entire east coast from VA and up. Trump is not out of this race at all.
by any internal polls i've seen WI is gone. PA is gone. and IA is gone, but red.
i think it will be closer than the people claiming Hilldog reaches 400 suggest, but i don't see her struggling. I mean, if on election night he loses Utah, Penn, Ohio, Florida, or Georgia it's over, and any lose in one of those makes a slew of other states must win to even reach 270. Without PA iirc there's only 1 path, and i think PA is gone even with the coal/steel base there.