Quote (Black XistenZ @ Nov 1 2020 11:20am)
The thing is: there will be almost 20 million more votes cast than in 2016. Trump could receive 8 million more votes than last time, increase his vote share from 46 to 48%, and still be defeated handily if the Dem vote really materializes.
These are some more factors I see potentially negatively impacting the Democrats.
- Mail In Ballots - which have a higher % of being rejected, due to being improperly filled out esp from first time voters (the youth vote which is likely more pro Democrat), mailing errors, not received in time. Mail-In Ballots were more heavily pushed by Democrat politicians at their base. And this could cost them votes.
There is also is the potential for mailer fraud. As, I believe Trump won Michigan by 11k votes in 2016. If there are people discarding of several thousand ballots or fraud occurring, this could have a serious impact on either party.
- Secret Trump Voters / Trump rallies having some pretty decent % of Registered Democrat Attendees (I believe I read somewhere that it was around 15% Dems at some events). What % of Registered Democrats will be been voting Republican? I really firmly believe that people are more hesitant to admit they're voting for Trump versus Joe Biden.
There's many questions for sure that we don't know the answer to. Every small % will add up though if these factors play out.
This post was edited by GLYC123 on Nov 1 2020 03:03pm