Quote (Skinned @ Feb 20 2016 08:32pm)
Trumps unstoppable.
He is until he gets to the March 15th trapdoor. He needs to bank as many delegates as possible before March 15th because that's when things could become really tricky. What happens on 3/15 and beyond will depend on the size of the field. 30%-35% is enough to win a 6-person contest but not a 2-person contest, so if the primary reaches 3/15 (or even sooner) and the GOP has successfully muscled Kasich and Carson out, Trump will need to grow his vote-share to 40% and beyond.
He's very fortunate that the delegate math is bad for Cruz, in the same way that it's bad for him: they're strong in the proportional states whereas Rubio is strong in the WTA states. This keeps Cruz from being able to pass him in delegates, but it could keep Cruz around for the duration because he'll at least be able to deny an outright majority for Trump or Rubio if he really wants to (provided he doesn't fade). Cruz is Trump's single-best weapon: if he can keep him in the race then Trump can go into a convention with a delegate lead provided he continues to perform at or near the same 30%/35% level. If Cruz gets out for whatever reason then Trump is very vulnerable to being overtaken by a media-driven Rubio coronation.
Quote (bogie160 @ Feb 21 2016 11:32am)
The little I've heard from Trump on health-care was decent...
LOLOLOL -- read his tweet, did you?
He's got the same exact 4-5 planks that
all Republicans propose in that area: high-risk pools, tort reform, HSAs, "selling across state lines," and tax credits for private insurance. It's straight Republican orthodoxy now that he's backtracked on his support for "the mandate." It's the same general framework that Walker and Jeb proposed, and everyone else who moved an inch beyond the reflexive "repeal and replace" garble. It's just a big bag of shit that either doesn't work at all, wouldn't work with the way he/they would attempt to implement it (see: underfunding the shit out of it0, or something that's already working fine under the ACA.