Quote (DizzyBusiness @ Oct 10 2023 09:54pm)
again - most outsiders will never be able to bring some solid news.
Hezbollah is teasing and checking Israeli response when he allows Jihad or smaller organizations to act. if Hezbollah was all in, it was not from 15 shells that most* of them landed on Syria turf. they are much more experienced.
your second sentence about the response is also a classic, unfamiliar of this area opinion piece and il explain :
a conflict on the northern border will be much bigger. on
both sides. in 2006, he regretted entering a full scale conflict with Israel ( his words ).
in 2006, Israel barley touched crucial points ( water, electricity, fuel, roads, bridges etc ). the air-strikes landed mostly on southern villages and on the Dahieh.
if Hezbollah will be "in the mix" than by all means Israeli civilians will suffer huge amounts of missles on cities etc, but Lebanon will be HANDLED in a way that Gaza is a playground right now.
im not dissin Hezbollah, exactly the opposite im familiar with those dudes and they know war. they are far more solid and cunning than Hamas. still.. the IDF is by far.. and i mean far.. a different version
when it can act freely against a country, and not againt a problematic place like Gaza.
so those 15 shells.. are chips. hamburgers. we see it all the time.. it's like a fly or a bee.