Answering here to avoid offtopic:
Quote (Thor123422 @ 30 Sep 2020 07:52)
I really wish we had more honest coverage from everybody about his refusal to commit to a peaceful transition of power.
He's actively trying to delegitimize the election, basically admitted he's trying to rush Barrett so he can have a favorable person to rule on the supreme court in his ballot objections, and won't say he will peacefully transition.
Trump's other stuff might be dangerous in the long term, where he emboldens white supremacists, but this is the thing he is saying that is truly, 100% dangerous and totally out of step with literally every other politician in the country. It's the thing that if he carries through, can legitimately sink the whole country.
Imho, Trump has neither the cunning nor attention span to actually pull off a complicated plan to stay in power after losing decisively. I also dont think that the courts or the military would stand with him if he is the clear loser of the election and tries to stay in power. The worst scenario I consider somewhat realistic in a legal sense is a repeat of 2000, with ballots in the decisive state being in doubt and the courts ruling in his favor on a muddy, unclear procedural case about recounting.
The most likely outcome I see is that Trump has laid the groundwork to lose the election without losing his face. By creating a huge partisan split on mail voting, it seems inevitable that he will be significantly ahead in most battleground states on election night. Then, the strongly Dem-leaning mail ballots will come in and put Biden ahead, often times by a wide margin. With such an outcome, he can still tell his base that he was winning on election night, that he was cheated out of his victory, that he was right all along when he cautioned against Democratic voter fraud, yada yada. If Biden is ultimately winning by a wide enough margin in the battlegrounds and the EC, these antics wont convince anyone outside of the rabid core of his base, even the non-trumpy conservatives who voted for him will call bullshit on it. If some of his supporters try to start riots, public opinion will turn on them very quickly and very hard.
What could really sink the country is if the outcome is really tight. Say Trump is up 8% in the battlegrounds on election night, then Biden closes the gap with the mail votes. Say in the end, the battlegrounds become a tossup while Biden wins the popular vote by a hefty margin, 3-4%. In such a scenario, neither side would accept the outcome of the election (no matter which way it ultimately goes) as legitimate and the country would go to shit.
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