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Mar 6 2018 01:38am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Mar 6 2018 01:09am)
You're not grasping my point, which is we need to push them to get rid of their tariffs so we can actually have something closer to free trade. Reciprocal tariffs is a solution i'm thinking of, what's yours?


For now, some Orange baboon is only increasing tariffs. Don't know how you see this working with the current stratergy of your government.

This post was edited by Knoppie on Mar 6 2018 01:59am
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Mar 6 2018 05:05pm
https://www.yahoo.com/news/white-house-economic-adviser-cohn-stepping-down-224648738--sector.html

so we're getting the tariffs.

how funny would it be if he starts a trade war and any moron in 2020 can win with the platform of "i'll take off the tariffs"?
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Mar 6 2018 05:09pm
He was elected on the promise to put in tariffs. Hes delivering on that. If the american public does an about face and starts accepting free trade again in 2020, yeah it would hurt trump. But thats not a bet you should make
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Mar 6 2018 05:12pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 6 2018 05:09pm)
He was elected on the promise to put in tariffs. Hes delivering on that. If the american public does an about face and starts accepting free trade again in 2020, yeah it would hurt trump. But thats not a bet you should make


Ahhh yes the confirmation bias laden "he was elected on it" narrative. Like rolling back all Obama care in 100 days. Or how about the wall Mexico is going to pay for. Maybe ending Daca. Or how about his promise to rip up Nafta. etc etc etc...

most people thought a tariff on mexico = mexico paying for the wall when that bullshit was announced. people are dumb, the stock market going down and prices going up dont go unnoticed tho.
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Mar 6 2018 05:22pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Mar 6 2018 05:12pm)
Ahhh yes the confirmation bias laden "he was elected on it" narrative. Like rolling back all Obama care in 100 days. Or how about the wall Mexico is going to pay for. Maybe ending Daca. Or how about his promise to rip up Nafta. etc etc etc...

most people thought a tariff on mexico = mexico paying for the wall when that bullshit was announced. people are dumb, the stock market going down and prices going up dont go unnoticed tho.


He campaigned heavily on protectionist trade policies and fighting free trade. Then he brought on Gary Cohn, fired Steve Bannon and durdled around on trade. The populist workers, unions defectors, rural americans were starting to get alienated when Trump was shaping up to be more big business and less little people.

You can disagree with the strategy or diminish the motivations, but people do notice when the stock market goes up and taxes get cut and their jobs still go to china anyway
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Mar 6 2018 05:24pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ Mar 5 2018 07:09pm)
No one is saying importing cars from Germany is a bad thing, nor is anyone claiming that it's harmful for the individual consumer, but are you going to sit here and deny that american made goods are as competitive when those countries place tariffs on our goods in their markets? Do you not see how those tariffs make our firms less competitive abroad? 7.5% is a huge margin to make up and it's essentially pricing out our goods and services out of those markets.

In the long run what do you think will be the result of firms that have costs of doing business such as 7.5% more in taxes compared to a firm that doesn't face those barriers? If you are a policy maker that wishes to make our domestically produced goods more competitive internationally what steps would you take? Assume that costs have been minimized and when it comes to technology you can't make up the 7.5% what do you do? Shrug your shoulders and just say well economists say this is good and do nothing?

Also your graph is kind of misleading, when i think of citizens i think of consumers, obviously consumers will benefit from cheaper foreign goods. Trade deficits should be talked about in the context of producers considering they are the one directly impacted. The proper question should be is how are American producers impacted when they have to face tariffs in foreign markets.

The Germans make fine cars, and even w/o the tariffs would be beating our products imo, then why have the tariffs?

https://www.statista.com/statistics/256642/the-20-countries-with-the-highest-trade-surplus/

Outside of a few oil exporters on that list most of those countries are considered very strong economically.




You're not grasping my point, which is we need to push them to get rid of their tariffs so we can actually have something closer to free trade. Reciprocal tariffs is a solution i'm thinking of, what's yours?


Everyone gets what you're saying. You are saying tit for tat is going to not escalate things and instead deescalate things. It isn't complicated.

This post was edited by Skinned on Mar 6 2018 05:25pm
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Mar 6 2018 05:29pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 6 2018 06:22pm)
He campaigned heavily on protectionist trade policies and fighting free trade. Then he brought on Gary Cohn, fired Steve Bannon and durdled around on trade. The populist workers, unions defectors, rural americans were starting to get alienated when Trump was shaping up to be more big business and less little people.

You can disagree with the strategy or diminish the motivations, but people do notice when the stock market goes up and taxes get cut and their jobs still go to china anyway


Trump got those voters because of his economic/protectionist arguments... but I think enough will drop off in 2020 that he's toast. You can only sell bullshit for so long... and even if Trump's policies could bring jobs back(LOL), it won't happen in 2-3 years. Trump was a grievance candidate, but now he can't point to the last four years and say "these politicians did a shit job, the economy sucks, etc". When uneducated voters suddenly hear that the economy is great, and their lives haven't gotten much better, I don't know how he overcomes that.

This post was edited by IceMage on Mar 6 2018 05:31pm
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Mar 6 2018 05:33pm
Quote (IceMage @ Mar 6 2018 07:29pm)
Trump got those voters because of his economic/protectionist arguments... but I think enough will drop off in 2020 that he's toast. You can only sell bullshit for so long... and even if Trump's policies could bring jobs back(LOL), it won't happen in 2-3 years. Trump was a grievance candidate, but now he can't point to the last four years and say "these politicians did a shit job, the economy sucks, etc". When uneducated voters suddenly hear that the economy is great, and there lives haven't gotten much better, I don't know how he overcomes that.


Historically hes the most consevrvative president since Reagan (so far). Hes done a number of great things for economy that wont be felt for a while
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Mar 6 2018 05:39pm
Quote (IceMage @ Mar 6 2018 05:29pm)
Trump got those voters because of his economic/protectionist arguments... but I think enough will drop off in 2020 that he's toast. You can only sell bullshit for so long... and even if Trump's policies could bring jobs back(LOL), it won't happen in 2-3 years. Trump was a grievance candidate, but now he can't point to the last four years and say "these politicians did a shit job, the economy sucks, etc". When uneducated voters suddenly hear that the economy is great, and there lives haven't gotten much better, I don't know how he overcomes that.


These attitudes didn't pop up overnight and they won't go away overnight. People don't like free trade.
Here for once we have a president who is actually doing the difficult and politically costly thing he was elected to do and promised, a republican who is rebuking his own party in order to serve the unions and blue collar workers at the expense of big business. He's crossing party lines, delivering on a promise, and all the neocons and neolibs can point to as criticism is to say that free trade is always a positive good and that any tariffs are always a destructive act of trade war that will hurt us overall, even though the same logic would have forbidden the 266->500% steel tariffs that Obama slapped on Chinese steel just a couple years ago.

After decades of spineless panderers and lying pragmatists, after uninterrupted neo-rule of the economy and a steadily rising inequality in america and tightening of the middle class, the outcome was grievances that tried to elect Bernie Sanders and actually did elect Trump. And I think its not a good bet to assume that within just 4 short years that America would suddenly turn around and embrace free trade and champion anti-union fatcats who tell them that they're just uneducated plebes buying snake oil from a bullshit artist.

The proof will be in the pudding. If the economy crashes, Trump will go down. If the economy stays up, this will help him, no matter what the anti-populists shriek about whether the theory is invalid or not.

This post was edited by Goomshill on Mar 6 2018 05:39pm
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Mar 6 2018 05:56pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 6 2018 05:22pm)
He campaigned heavily on protectionist trade policies and fighting free trade. Then he brought on Gary Cohn, fired Steve Bannon and durdled around on trade. The populist workers, unions defectors, rural americans were starting to get alienated when Trump was shaping up to be more big business and less little people.

You can disagree with the strategy or diminish the motivations, but people do notice when the stock market goes up and taxes get cut and their jobs still go to china anyway


People r too dumb to work out the implications of protectionist trade. Trump is remedying that for them.
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