reality is. its a battle of man vs woman. is usa really going to elect a woman? i mean obama( black ) i never expected to happen but is the states really ready to elect a woman? i really dont like trump hes going to be a disaster. but its prob going to happen.

I'm not a Vegas better, rather than trusting a site like 5Dimes or the equivalent where I would place a monstrous bet and then have to just wait to see if I'm actually going to get paid if I win, everyone in my position just arranges bets through the large network of Democratic and Republican operatives they've made.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/12/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-health-deplorables-pivit/index.html

Hillary Clinton's chances of winning in November dropped from 72% on Friday to 58% on Monday according to CNN's political prediction market.

Her chances dropped 2 percent after the "deplorables" comment and then dropped additional points after her public health scare on Sunday.

It's only been two days since the huge events on sunday, wait till polls next week or the one after -- she's done.

A shot term drop isn't concerning

LOLOLOLOLOL. Some of you -- wait, most of you -- are putting entirely too much stock on what low-quality public polling is saying about the race. This is even worse than that, baseless speculation about what low-quality public polling might show in the future.

Well then you should do so, you're the insider anyway so if you think Vegas is off you could make some good ROI.



She's already upticking, bookies were most likely trying to offset the huge influx of Trump bets that came in when all this happened.

This post was edited by Voyaging on Sep 13 2016 01:48pm

Yeah. Presidential races ebb and flow pretty frequently. As long as Clinton's chances don't ever drop below 50%, it's nothing to get too alarmed about, unless it's October and she's sitting at like 51-55%.

But the race has tightened. It was looking like a Clinton blowout for a while. It still could be a blowout, but that's less likely now.

Another way to interpret this: Trump has a 42% chance of winning, according to CNN's political prediction market.

The way I see it, Trump has gained a bit in the election but not much, the real difference is that there's a serious chance that Hillary will drop out or be forced out, probably due to her health.

I'm putting my stock into persuasion, the polls just follow suit