For anyone 25(or younger) like I am, this is an interesting video. I'm aware of everything in the video but it's interesting to see Hillary 20 years ago.
Quote (Pollster @ Aug 15 2016 04:58pm)
I'm very cautious when it comes to election analysis. I try to discourage sweeping declaration unless there's a whole lot of data to back it up, so declaring a race finished in or before August is not something you'll see me do much.
I can think of one: Trump weasels out of all but one debate without getting called out for it and he shows up and lies in circles just like Romney did in Denver, and just like Obama didn't know the proper way to deal with it Clinton also doesn't know how to respond and it allows the press to default to their favorite pre-packaged "it's a real race now" narrative, giving Trump free weeks of glowing coverage for doing nothing but lying and being a chickenshit. Combine that with the guarantee that Republicans will still be trying their voter suppression tactics in every single state that they control which means FL/OH/NC/NV/WI/IA/MI/GA/AZ. A lot of their omnibus suppression bills were thrown out because they were obviously unconstitutional, but they'll still do everything they can to cause long lines, provide few machines, move polling places around, cut hours, all the usual stuff they do. That almost was enough to flip FL in 2012, and all that has to happen is for it to flip FL/OH and 17+ other EVs, maybe PA, and Trump can win if he holds the Romney states.
Don't know how likely though. Some parts are very (weaseling, voter suppression) while others (winning FL) not so much.
I can respect that.
Hopefully Trump follows through on his word that he will do 3 debates, simply because it'll be insanely entertaining. Giuliani won't stand for another left-wing reporter like Candy Crowley moderating the debate.... lol.
This post was edited by IceMage on Aug 16 2016 05:01pm