Quote (Pollster @ 11 Aug 2016 18:20)
Their year-over-year strategy is a simple, cynical one: discourage, discourage, discourage, then hope like hell their base shows up while their voter suppression efforts keep Democratic-leaning demographics from voting.
I don't think there's any chance that Gary Johnson performs worse this year than he did in 2012. I think Stein is a lock for only 1% (she's only going to be on the ballot in ~25 states, one of the reasons she's way overpolling) but I think Johnson is easily capable of 3% or more. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a 53%-40%-5.5%-1% result if Clinton keeps the pressure on and Trump either keeps trying to weasel out of the debates or shows up and bombs anyway.
True, I think Gary Johnson is probably going to get more than 3% (maybe around 5-6%), but I was just pointing out that Trump is likely to get around 40% of the vote or more. And even if he loses in a landslide, that amount is still disturbingly high for me.
Hell, even if Trump was running 3rd party on a similar platform and got just 10% of the vote, that would be disturbing to me. I can't wrap my head around why people think this man is the best option to be our next president. I suppose a lot of his support is simply from party loyalty, but still.