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Sep 2 2024 01:35pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 2 2024 02:49pm)
Agreed. I think I've written about this before, but this is all part of China's long-term strategy and our greedy corporations fell for it like flies in a Venus flytrap...

1. China becomes a booming growth market.
2. Western car companies make an increasing share of their overall revenue and profits in the Chinese market.
3. The rise of China coupled with the stagnation of the West goads Western car companies into a critical dependency on the Chinese market, pulling out of it is no longer possible.
4. China imposes regulations, ostensibly due to pollution concerns, which effectively force a phasing out or ICE cars with a deadline in the late 2010s/early 2020s.
5. Since they critically rely on the Chinese market and a dual track R&D is too expensive, most Western car makers have no other choice than to give up on fossil cars and take part in the EV craze.
6. This transition to electric mobility devalues the century-old technological know-how on which the business model of the Western car makers, as well as significant chunks of the wealth of their nations, was based.
7. With the technological playing field leveled, the Chinese car manufacturers can leverage their cost advantages (cheap labor and energy, lower bureaucracy, short supply lines) to outcompete their Western rivals in the new EV market. First in China itself, then also in the Western markets.


Tariffs can slow down or perhaps even stop the last step, but the Chinese market is lost for Western car makers, which is a huge problem for them in and off itself. And most of the Western governments, think tanks, media and institutions are thoroughly infested with the climate agenda and will thus push for the electrification of individual mobility. How long will they be able to keep up high tariffs on cheap Chinese models while the domestic models are unaffordable for lower-income folks and old fossil cars are increasingly banned via sneaky regulations?


Interesting. I haven't heard that theory before but it's possible. One advantage from a geopolitical perspective that China has over the west is their ability to think longer term and plan accordingly. A plan like the one you highlight would take many years to play out, something we in the west arent that good at (democracies are inherently unstable, and it's hard to achieve multi-decade shifts and missions such as that one because there's too much political change)

I generally agree tariffs are regressive but currently there's no real alternative. Democrats and a lot of economists are piling on Trump for proposing tariffs, but they don't provide working alternatives. In the long term do we just let China put our steel, car, solar panels, whatever other 'real' productive capacity we have out of business permanently or do we insulate through protectionism? IMO the latter is the lesser of the two evils.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on Sep 2 2024 01:37pm
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Sep 2 2024 04:57pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 2 Sep 2024 21:35)
Interesting. I haven't heard that theory before but it's possible. One advantage from a geopolitical perspective that China has over the west is their ability to think longer term and plan accordingly. A plan like the one you highlight would take many years to play out, something we in the west arent that good at (democracies are inherently unstable, and it's hard to achieve multi-decade shifts and missions such as that one because there's too much political change)

I generally agree tariffs are regressive but currently there's no real alternative. Democrats and a lot of economists are piling on Trump for proposing tariffs, but they don't provide working alternatives. In the long term do we just let China put our steel, car, solar panels, whatever other 'real' productive capacity we have out of business permanently or do we insulate through protectionism? IMO the latter is the lesser of the two evils.


In 2017, they introduced quotas for the share of sales which have to come from EVs:
https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/chinas-clean-vehicles-sales-quota-game-changer-eu

This quota is increasing from year to year and leaves carmakers no other choice than to fully embrace the transition from fossil-based to electric cars.
https://www.electrive.com/2020/06/22/china-sets-nev-quotas-till-2023/

------------------------

Their undemocratic one-party state is their biggest strength and biggest weakness. They can make and execute long-term strategic decisions and stay in power long enough to see them through. On the other hand, the lack of democratic control and feedback from elections or a free press means that whenever their leadership makes an error or backs the wrong horse, correcting the mistake is harder and takes longer.

A prime example is their totalitarian zero covid strategy which saw entire megacities being put into draconian lockdowns over a handful of cases, but without having a proper exit strategy. In 2022, with the hyper-transmissible omikron variant becoming dominant, this strategy came to a head, until the Chinese people were on the verge of revolt in late 2022. Xi finally gave in, did a 180° and let the virus rip. There was mayhem and many preventable deaths during the huge "exit wave". Not only had the intermittent lockdowns caused huge damage to China's economy, China was also very late to leave the pandemic behind. The US and Europe had begun reopening since the spring/summer of 2021 and fully left the pandemic behind by March 2022. China was still in super strict lockdowns in November 2022 and couldn't leave the pandemic behind until March 2023.
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Sep 3 2024 02:14pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 2 2024 06:22pm)
There is none. The Greens and the Social Democrats are beholden to the "green transformation" and thus have no intentions of bringing down energy prices to an internationally competitive level any time soon. The mainstream "conservative" CDU keeps refusing to coalesce with the right-wing populist AfD and therefore has no power options besides these two parties, so that a proper change of course is not realistic. Merkel and the MSM have maneuvered German politics into a destructive dead end.

Regarding VW, a couple of additional factors must be kept in mind, though. For one, the main problem of the Volkswagen Group is with their core brand VW whose margins have gotten dangerously low. Other brands within the conglomerate, for example Skoda, Seat, Audi and Porsche, are faring better. Many of their mistakes are coming home to roost now. Dieselgate/the cheating software. Their abandonment of cheap, entry-level cars in favor of midmarket limousines and ever-growing SUVs. They should have either rejected the transition to EVs, or transitioned to them much quicker than they did. They bet too heavily on the Chinese market while neglecting others, which bites them in the ass, now that the Chinese economy is in the mud.

More globally speaking, they're suffering from difficult market conditions: the high interest rates and the cost of living crisis since 2021/22 have caused sluggish car markets around the globe. Other car manufacturers like Ford are also closing plants due to the difficult market, see for example here: https://www.fordcountychronicle.com/articles/featured/plant-to-close-due-to-difficult-market-conditions-says-firm/


corporate germany deserves this, these companies have been money printers for decades and destroyed everything on a whim to appease climate change fanatics, dipshit politicians and leftie media outlets

they support unrestricted mass migration, used the eurozone to turn germany into a low wage sweatshop for highly skilled workers for max profit and max taxes for the state

meanwhile germans are among the poorest people in europe

well deserved, let it burn
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Sep 3 2024 02:33pm
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ 3 Sep 2024 22:14)
corporate germany deserves this, these companies have been money printers for decades and destroyed everything on a whim to appease climate change fanatics, dipshit politicians and leftie media outlets

they support unrestricted mass migration, used the eurozone to turn germany into a low wage sweatshop for highly skilled workers for max profit and max taxes for the state

meanwhile germans are among the poorest people in europe

well deserved, let it burn

1000% this.

It should also be noted that the Volkswagen Group had posted record revenue and profits just last year, so it's not like they're posting huge losses and thus desperately need to close factories and release workers to survive.... they're simply not meeting their profitability targets anymore amidst a difficult market environment and due to past mistake of corporate leadership, and now want to squeeze their workers and the public purse some more. Nothing more, nothing less.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/272053/operating-profit-of-volkswagen-since-2006/
https://www.statista.com/statistics/264349/sales-revenue-of-volkswagen-ag-since-2006/

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Sep 3 2024 02:34pm
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Sep 3 2024 11:35pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ 3 Sep 2024 22:33)
1000% this.

It should also be noted that the Volkswagen Group had posted record revenue and profits just last year, so it's not like they're posting huge losses and thus desperately need to close factories and release workers to survive.... they're simply not meeting their profitability targets anymore amidst a difficult market environment and due to past mistake of corporate leadership, and now want to squeeze their workers and the public purse some more. Nothing more, nothing less.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/272053/operating-profit-of-volkswagen-since-2006/
https://www.statista.com/statistics/264349/sales-revenue-of-volkswagen-ag-since-2006/


Majority of Volkswagen factories are outside of Germany in countries like China, Russia, Brazil, India. Getting rid of low efficiency, unproductive German factories will benefit Volkswagen. They should also consider moving headquarters away from Germany to eg Switzerland or US to escape German green left.

Quote (ChatGPT)


Here's a table listing Volkswagen factories and the countries where they are located:

| **Factory Location** | **Country** |
|---------------------------------------|-------------------------|
| Wolfsburg | Germany |
| Emden | Germany |
| Hanover | Germany |
| Zwickau | Germany |
| Dresden | Germany |
| Kassel | Germany |
| Braunschweig | Germany |
| Salzgitter | Germany |
| Chemnitz | Germany |
| Osnabrück | Germany |
| Kaluga | Russia |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Russia |
| Bratislava | Slovakia |
| Martorell | Spain |
| Pamplona | Spain |
| Palmela | Portugal |
| Poznań | Poland |
| Września | Poland |
| Győr | Hungary |
| Kvasiny | Czech Republic |
| Mladá Boleslav | Czech Republic |
| Vrchlabí | Czech Republic |
| Puebla | Mexico |
| Chattanooga | USA |
| São Bernardo do Campo | Brazil |
| São Carlos | Brazil |
| Curitiba | Brazil |
| Anchieta (São Paulo) | Brazil |
| Uitenhage | South Africa |
| Port Elizabeth | South Africa |
| Kaluga | Russia |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Russia |
| Relizane | Algeria |
| Pune | India |
| Aurangabad | India |
| Samut Prakan | Thailand |
| Jakarta | Indonesia |
| Pekan | Malaysia |
| Pacheco | Argentina |
| Anting (Shanghai) | China |
| Foshan | China |
| Changchun | China |
| Chengdu | China |
| Urumqi | China |
| Ningbo | China |
| Tianjin | China |
| Hefei | China |
| Bratislava | Slovakia |
| Sarajevo | Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| Lagos | Nigeria |

This list includes many of the major Volkswagen production facilities worldwide. Some countries have multiple factories, and the list includes those that are wholly owned by Volkswagen as well as joint ventures and subsidiaries.


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Sep 3 2024 11:37pm
Quote (Malopox @ Sep 4 2024 12:35am)
Majority of Volkswagen factories are outside of Germany in countries like China, Russia, Brazil, India. Getting rid of low efficiency, unproductive German factories will benefit Volkswagen. They should also consider moving headquarters away from Germany to eg Switzerland or US to escape German green left.


The table you provided is mostly accurate, but there are some corrections needed:

Kaluga and Nizhny Novgorod, Russia: Volkswagen suspended operations in Russia due to the geopolitical situation in 2022. While these factories existed, they are not currently in operation.
Bratislava, Slovakia: Appears twice in the list. Only one mention is necessary.
Port Elizabeth, South Africa: Uitenhage, also in South Africa, was renamed to Kariega in 2021. Port Elizabeth was renamed to Gqeberha around the same time.
Bosnia and Herzegovina: Volkswagen once had a factory in Sarajevo, but it hasn't been a significant production site for some time.
Duplicate listing: Kaluga and Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, are listed twice. They only need to appear once.
Here's a corrected version:

Factory Location Country
Wolfsburg Germany
Emden Germany
Hanover Germany
Zwickau Germany
Dresden Germany
Kassel Germany
Braunschweig Germany
Salzgitter Germany
Chemnitz Germany
Osnabrück Germany
Bratislava Slovakia
Martorell Spain
Pamplona Spain
Palmela Portugal
Poznań Poland
Września Poland
Győr Hungary
Kvasiny Czech Republic
Mladá Boleslav Czech Republic
Vrchlabí Czech Republic
Puebla Mexico
Chattanooga USA
São Bernardo do Campo Brazil
São Carlos Brazil
Curitiba Brazil
Anchieta (São Paulo) Brazil
Kariega (Uitenhage) South Africa
Gqeberha (Port Elizabeth) South Africa
Relizane Algeria
Pune India
Aurangabad India
Samut Prakan Thailand
Jakarta Indonesia
Pekan Malaysia
Pacheco Argentina
Anting (Shanghai) China
Foshan China
Changchun China
Chengdu China
Urumqi China
Ningbo China
Tianjin China
Hefei China
Lagos Nigeria
Let me know if you need further details!
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Sep 4 2024 05:10am
Quote (Malopox @ 4 Sep 2024 07:35)
Majority of Volkswagen factories are outside of Germany in countries like China, Russia, Brazil, India. Getting rid of low efficiency, unproductive German factories will benefit Volkswagen. They should also consider moving headquarters away from Germany to eg Switzerland or US to escape German green left.


The German state of Lower Saxony holds 20.2% of the stock of the Volkswagen Group and the statutes of Volkswagen explicitly state that all major decisions require a 4/5th (i.e. 80%) majority. So Lower Saxony has veto powers. Furthermore, the statutes also state that decisions about factory locations require a 2/3rd majority in the supervisory board, where multiple members of the government of Lower Saxony as well as labor representatives are sitting.

So the VW headquarters is 100% going nowhere, and they might not even have the votes to force factory closures in Germany.


Side note: the German factories are mostly state of the art, hyperefficient and productive - the crux is just that they're super expensive too, based on high labor and energy costs.
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Sep 21 2024 09:42pm
French President Emmanuel Macron announces new right-wing government

Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8rd52zl018o
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Sep 21 2024 10:42pm
Quote (iLoveMyUsername @ 22 Sep 2024 05:42)
French President Emmanuel Macron announces new right-wing government

Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8rd52zl018o


Kudos to him. For months, myself and many other political commentators, professional and layman alike, were wondering what the fuck he was doing. First, it seemed as if he had inadvertently handed the RN a majority. Then, it seemed as if he had inadvertently created a lefty majority in parliament that he would now have to work with. In the end, he seems to have kept both sides from power... for now. His new government doesn't have a majority of its own, so they will need either the support of the Greens and center-left Socialists, or of the RN.

Calling the snap election was probably still a mistake, but Macron absolutely made the most out of a bad situation since then. I nonetheless expect another election 11-18 months from now. (They need to wait at least one year since the last election before being able to call another one.)

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Sep 21 2024 10:43pm
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Sep 21 2024 11:36pm
Wasnt macron groomed and put in place by the gobalists technocrats?
Like look up the age diff with his wife, how they met and what ages they were
That shit just creepy, between the bidens and macrons this is fucked up that they're even in those "president" positions
clown world never fail to disappoint...
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