Quote (bogie160 @ Jan 11 2020 11:16pm)
Come on.
There were a myriad of reasons for why Obama shouldn't have made the deal. The Iranian economy was collapsing. Sanctions were being upheld. Domestic unrest was spiraling out of the regime's control. But fine, Obama went ahead under the premise that Iran could be brought back into the international fold as a responsible member of that community. It's not necessarily bad to bet on a promising outcome, but when ballistics testing goes ahead, when Iran doubles down on regional hegemony, infiltrates foreign governments, installs proxies in positions of power, and destabilizes the entire region, it's time to face the music and fold.
There are arguments that could be made for or against the Iran Deal. There was that logic of figuring maybe Iran going nuclear is inevitable, maybe the costs to stop it are too high, maybe we can do more to pressure and manipulate them if we bring them closer to the US sphere of influence and fold them into the international community instead of being a pariah state. Maybe leveraging the weakened and overextended Saudi geopolitical / oil market position in order to build up a relationship with Iran at the one time the Saudis couldn't push back, letting us play Sunni and Shia against each other to our benefit.
All of that logic should have been thrown right out the window on the relatively simple political calculation that no matter whether you think the Iran Deal was a good or bad idea, it wasn't going to survive whoever won in 2016, and a failed and rescinded Iran Deal is far worse than having no deal at all. Obama already knew Hillary and all the Republicans were hostile to the deal and looking for reasons to tear it up, and Obama wasn't about to win a 3rd term in office. Unless he seriously thought Joe Biden was going to carry on his legacy in 2016, despite knowing about Hillary's inevitability, there was no scenario where the Iran Deal stuck. A unillateral executive action without support in congress, without strong support from his own party, opposed by every potential future executive? It was DOA.