Quote (thundercock @ 24 Aug 2020 22:26)
I think if this were 2016, Biden would have had a higher chance of winning than Clinton but Trump's attacks would be effective. I really don't think he's going to be able to shake things up much. Yes, he will probably have some bills that are a 'big fucking deal' but a lot of progressives won't see it that way. Ultimately, the US government is not set up to solve problems quickly. We keep looking to national government to solve our problems when the reality is that social problems are done through the blood, sweat, and tears of local communities.
I think Biden's track record is indeed vulnerable, but the big problem is that Trump is the incumbent now. Unlike in 2016, it is difficult or perhaps impossible for him to run as an outsider against the DC swamp demon, or to sell that giving him a 2nd term would lead to radical change. The hope of some voters in 2016 that Trump would really shake up things has only materialized with heavy reservations. Trump wont be able to sell this kind of pitch a second time.
For Trump to defeat Biden, he would need policies with which he can beat him, policies which play well with Trump's base but have majority appeal among the entire electorate. Tldr: he should have gone full economic populism in the wake of covid.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 24 2020 02:36pm