Quote (fender @ Jan 11 2020 07:57pm)
that's really great. the people have every reason to demonstrate against their shitty government. that does, however, not refute the fact that the religious right and conservatives in iran rallied behind their leadership, and that trump's escalation of the conflict, especially the assassination of soleimani, has been a great recruitment tool for radicals.
True, but the missile strike is really something Iranian leadership will kick themselves for. Lots of political ammo, nothing gained and even lost the high ground argument vs the US "You once took down our civilian airliner". I hope this can be cause for some political change in Iran, for the better.
Quote (ofthevoid @ Jan 11 2020 08:08pm)
I think it's incredible how a regime can give up so much to gain so little. Imagine if Iran was not seeking nukes and how that would completely change the dynamics of the discussion. Imagine how much wealth and investment can be generated with a country that's relatively educated & large in comparison to the region, which can easily form ties and partnerships with foreign markets.
I understand that they want regional clout, but why not yield, give up nukes and grow strong economically? I think the Euros would shift towards being 'for' Iran if only they were willing to give this up. In a way it's similar to Russia, as in, at some point the Germans & other Euro powers were willing to tell US regional interests to fuck off and form deep energy ties with Russia out of self interest. I've long said and believe this. You don't get compliance and influence by shunning countries and painting them into a corner where their only choice is to be erratic. You get them to conform by forming strong economic ties, which leads to those populations having higher standards of living and having a certain expectation, so when the gov't acts out and threatens that domestic comfort the populace itself will rise up.
Iran focuses on the nukes because if you look at them they're geopolitically sandwiched between major nuclear powers. Israel, Russia, China, India. All have nukes and could in future threaten Iran.
And I do have to note here that Iran has afaik always insisted they only seek nuclear energy, not nuclear weaponry. They are a signatory and ratifier of the NNPT.
This post was edited by balrog66 on Jan 11 2020 01:12pm