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Dec 8 2022 12:45pm
Quote (SwamiVivekananda @ Dec 8 2022 12:37pm)
-------Can you confirm this? No.


that was supposed to be a clear joke, and it clearly wasn't clear.

like i asked, what effects has his release had?
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Dec 8 2022 12:48pm
should have farmed for high runes in jail and created an enigma to teleport out instead. but unfortunately, we don't have time for logical solutions

This post was edited by ChocolateCoveredGummyBears on Dec 8 2022 12:48pm
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Dec 8 2022 12:48pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 8 Dec 2022 12:45)
that was supposed to be a clear joke, and it clearly wasn't clear.

like i asked, what effects has his release had?


Considering it just happened it's impossible to know. Give it at least a few days/week before we see information trickle down from the trough :thumbsup:
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Dec 8 2022 12:56pm
Quote (SwamiVivekananda @ Dec 8 2022 12:13pm)
Tracking this post because I know this will have a real world effect on the future. It already has.


Quote (SwamiVivekananda @ Dec 8 2022 12:48pm)
Considering it just happened it's impossible to know. Give it at least a few days/week before we see information trickle down from the trough :thumbsup:


im just confused because u said it has.
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Dec 8 2022 12:56pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 8 2022 01:20pm)
i personally think they'll do nothing with him outside of a debrief. what can they really get out of a guy who ran arms 20 years ago that they dont already know? as soon as he got pinched his #2 on down spilled anything they knew to them already.


Again, I'm speculating with no knowledge, but the point is to back up those who stood with the Russian security services. Otherwise what's the point of getting him at all.
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Dec 8 2022 01:00pm
they definitely swapped other “assets” in this exchange. Griner and the arms dealer as the face of this swap are the way to keep people from asking any further questions.
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Dec 8 2022 01:01pm
Quote (IceMage @ Dec 8 2022 12:56pm)
Again, I'm speculating with no knowledge, but the point is to back up those who stood with the Russian security services. Otherwise what's the point of getting him at all.


same on blind speculation. i think arresting and holding Griner was just a pure anti-america move. and i think the trade is also a pure anti-america move. its just to make us look bad and/or cause conflict between sides of the aisle in america.
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Dec 8 2022 01:01pm
Quote (thesnipa @ 8 Dec 2022 12:56)
im just confused because u said it has.


Cause/ Effect isn't really hard to understand.

You said nothing and then "next to nothing" so you change your mind too and you gave a real world example(WNBA ticket sales)

edit: blind speculation you saying that Viktor Bout is NOTHING(ZERO) that's your opinion.

edit: If this was an OOM trade we just traded a 1(Grimes petty criminal)(No one will die) for a 10(Dangerous criminal)(People have died)

This post was edited by SwamiVivekananda on Dec 8 2022 01:11pm
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Dec 8 2022 01:12pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 8 2022 02:01pm)
same on blind speculation. i think arresting and holding Griner was just a pure anti-america move. and i think the trade is also a pure anti-america move. its just to make us look bad and/or cause conflict between sides of the aisle in america.


Well I think Putin can count on any move by the Biden administration being criticized by the most popular voices in the Republican party. I don't think that was his main motivation, but it's obviously going to happen. There's no world where Tucker and Hannity give Biden props for getting Britney Griner home.
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Dec 8 2022 01:13pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Dec 8 2022 01:09pm)
it's a perfect optics win for Russia. they get to exchange a worthless WNBA player for an infamous, albeit useless to the arms trade, criminal. the right winged media will have a field day and make him out to be a bond villain that we just released for nothing in return. they'll mock the WNBA, people will write follow up articles about how mocking the WNBA is sexist and "shows their true colors" and the comments section will even call them racists who value a white man over a black lesbian.

in the long run it's a chaotic mess that in reality doesnt matter and wont cost them anything but a plane ticket.


Whether it's arms dealing or mercenaries, they're effectively extensions of the Russian government. Bout's value isn't personal, he's not going to do any deals, but it's a message that Putin will come and get those who work for the regime.

The US doesn't negotiate with terrorists because they don't want to encourage the taking of American hostages. The Economist ran an analysis a few years back, and true to form, Americans were far less likely to be taken hostage overseas. If the United States won't pay you, and you're likely to get an air strike for your trouble, the cost benefit analysis is pretty clear-cut. The same rule should have applied here. If Russia wants to grab WNBA players for weed, then don't bring weed to Russia, or preferably don't go at all.

This post was edited by bogie160 on Dec 8 2022 01:15pm
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