Quote (thundercock @ 27 Jul 2020 02:50)
I was referring to presidential elections. Virginia and Colorado are completely lost causes now and the GOP would be foolish to campaign there.
Right, but that's the case for a lot of blue states. Outside of NYC, New York is pretty red.
Most states dont flip at that kind of pace though. Colorado could only flip so quick because it never had a ton of population outside of Denver, and Denver was a metro with a lot of room for easy growth (which other metros like NY, LA, Chicago or Miama dont have, to name just a few). It didnt take big numbers to completely change the political static of Colorado.
Virginia only flipped because of its adjacency to DC, a factor that will not flip any other state.
The changes in Texas have been going on for a long time, and are happening at a much slower pace. Virginia flipped from solid red in 2004 to solid blue in 2020. According to current polling averages, Texas is still 8% more republican leaning than the nation as a whole atm. It was R+11 back in 2016, so that's 3% of movement over one cycle - a cycle dominated by a historically unpopular GOP incumbent who happened to be a bad fit for Texas and will probably be gone soon. I seriously doubt that Texas will shift as much to the left over a cycle with a President Biden.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 26 2020 07:52pm