Quote (bogie160 @ Jul 18 2020 09:26pm)
Which demographic group is larger, suburban women, or white? Torching support in a majority to increase support in a minority is fundamentally a losing proposition.
Hillary lost the white vote by historic margins; I don't see the long-term trend getting better. Trump was a candidate beset by flaws, he forced himself to the extreme right on immigration in order to get his foot in the door and was subsequently unable to backpedal. Even then, he bested Romney's share among Hispanics 29% to 27%. A nationalist platform skeptical of free-trade, pro-worker, and anti-crime is fundamentally the majoritarian position in an age where the Democratic party has aligned itself to Hollywood elites, race riots, and trillion dollar reparation plans. The black-only spaces in Seattle weren't meant for Hispanics, and they'll know it. A lesser importance on the interests of white surburbia is hard for white surburbans to accept, but it's the correct electoral strategy.
Neither the Democratic party or the GOP has any serious plans for the country at present. I think I'm past the point where I hope either will. This rendition of the two-party system is over with. It's time for an encore.
At the moment, white, but they are a rapidly declining demographic. In addition, there's no such thing as the "white vote" or "Hispanic vote" like there is with the "black vote." Blacks really do vote in unison (something like 85%+). Unfortunately, Hispanics are trending towards "voting in unison" which is incredibly dangerous for the GOP.
Both Romney and Trump had pathetic shares of the Hispanic vote compared to GWB. Of Latinos, 32% identify as CONSERVATIVE, 28% identify as liberal, and 36% identify as moderate (2016 data). The GOP is REALLY dropping the ball on this demographic. Yes, their wants and needs are diverse and often contradictory depending on if you are speaking with Guatemalans or Puerto Ricans. However, there's no reason why the GOP couldn't create a MAJORITY COALITION of Hispanics.
I'm not convinced that you can grab a similar percentage of the "white vote" given that white women and white men vote quite differently. At the moment, Biden is obliterating Trump because his coalition is really strong. The reason? Suburbanites.
I've said it before, but given the state of the American education system and the disdain towards public sector unions, the correct path forward would be for the GOP to become the party of performance and outcomes when it comes to education. There's nothing more important to suburbanites than a quality education for their children. Alas, the proof is in the pudding and the GOP doesn't give a fuck about outcomes.
This post was edited by thundercock on Jul 19 2020 12:07pm