Quote (ferdia @ Dec 20 2023 06:40am)
As I understand it, Trump will appeal, and he is likely to win the appeal. is this false or what is your view on this ?
Yeah I tried to be clear on that;
Quote
Rather than doomsay or give apocalyptic warnings of civil war, lets be clear. The most likely outcome right now is this decision goes to John Roberts desk and SCOTUS promptly shits all over colorado and tells them to fuck off and we go back to status quo and the election goes on.
There's still the
possibility that it doesn't get resolved by scotus. A deluge of other states like MN, scotus focusing on technicalities instead of merit, or dragging out the process, or trying to split the baby somehow.
But then there's also the question of what happens even if scotus resolves it, if they don't fully slam the door shut. Colorado's supreme court saying Trump is ineligible for office is binding statewide, even if a federal court says they have to put him on the ballot, will it also say colorado can't declare him an illegitimate president? Because if he wins, and some states have binding precedent declaring him an invalid president, those states are in a de facto state of refuting the certification of the election.
and the other element is- this is just one prong of the attacks on the election. They're going after Trump with 91 felony charges, trying to take him off the ballots, trying the censor him, trying to spy on him, trying to mass arrest his supporters and cabinet. All it takes is one attack to pierce the legitimacy of our elections. And even if they
all get fended off, if our nation maxed D/A/E and lucked out and it all gets resolved somehow, we've still got this precedent, this win-at-all-costs escalation that will be revisited the next election. I've seen what Mitch McConnell did with a nuclear option, what would Republicans look like weaponizing all this when the shoe is on the other foot?