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Aug 27 2022 12:46am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ 5 Aug 2022 18:01)
(...)

The sad truth is that the West maneuvered into a strategic dead end by imposing these energy sanctions, which were a horrible idea from the start. We should have sanctioned the military industry and certain high-tech products, but not the wider economy and particularly not energy. But now that our fucking useless braindead shitfuck leaders screwed the situation up, there is no feasible way to go back which doesn't make things even worse.


Ok, so we have an inflation.
But what would happen if we keep buying Russian resources like normal?
Imo there would still be a lot of inflation, although little lower.
This is because energy prices went up even before sanctions, and it was nearly spring already. Putin was already on an economic war with EU, limiting gas flow severely.
So on a bad side, we increased our inflation.
Hovewer on a good side, Russians income halved. That was a huge hit for their war effort. Putin is of course a dictator, but even as a dictator he cant cut social spendings to 0, especially when there is a lot of unemployment as a result of the sanctions.
So we would have loads of money on his disposal, and he could have defeated Ukraine already and be preparing for the next war already.
Putin already demanded a lift of sanctions in exchange for gas, he would simply keep asking more and more until winter.
So although current way is hard, we really need to save energy this winter, this is the only way reliable. Once the war started we had to prepare for worst scenario for winter, as Russia isn't reliable anymore.
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Aug 27 2022 05:31am
Quote (Ironfister @ 27 Aug 2022 08:46)
Ok, so we have an inflation.
But what would happen if we keep buying Russian resources like normal?
Imo there would still be a lot of inflation, although little lower.
This is because energy prices went up even before sanctions, and it was nearly spring already. Putin was already on an economic war with EU, limiting gas flow severely.
So on a bad side, we increased our inflation.
Hovewer on a good side, Russians income halved. That was a huge hit for their war effort. Putin is of course a dictator, but even as a dictator he cant cut social spendings to 0, especially when there is a lot of unemployment as a result of the sanctions.
So we would have loads of money on his disposal, and he could have defeated Ukraine already and be preparing for the next war already.
Putin already demanded a lift of sanctions in exchange for gas, he would simply keep asking more and more until winter.
So although current way is hard, we really need to save energy this winter, this is the only way reliable. Once the war started we had to prepare for worst scenario for winter, as Russia isn't reliable anymore.

1. Russia can just print rubles to pay for social spendings. It will take quite some time until inflation kicks in to the degree that this doesn't work anymore, particularly with hard currency ($/€) still coming in from commodity sales to China/India.
2. The current armaments used by Russia were already paid for in recent years; in the short term, Russia's war effort does NOT depend on buying arms with current revenue. They can easily sustain their war effort for a year or two before revenue becomes a limiting factor. The idea that money earned by Russia in Q2 or Q3 of 2022 would have caused Russia to defeat Ukraine already... is quite frankly laughable.
3. If we hadn't signalled that we want to phase out Russian gas in 1-2 years anyway, it would have been a much harder decision for Putin to close the gas tap because it would have meant risking 10, 15, 20 years of revenue.
4. The current inflation of 7-10% would be bearable for a year or two. But who says that inflation is gonna stay there? The real energy crunch hasn't happened yet, it's coming this winter, and we have no idea how much it will further fuel inflation.
5. Do you have a source for the claim that Russia's income has halved? From everything I've read, Russia's overall commodity revenue (not just from the West but the entire world, including China/India) has remained roughly the same as before the war because drastically higher prices have counteracted the drastically lower sales volume.
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Aug 27 2022 06:12am
Quote (dro94 @ Aug 26 2022 03:23pm)
Not my experience so far. Everyone speaks English, everything is in English, and people are very friendly to me. Also I’m a fucking giant here at 6”1


you are doing it right, dont allow anyone to talk you out of winning

singapore wouldnt really be my thing though, too big, too fast, too humid ^_^
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Aug 27 2022 06:25am
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ 27 Aug 2022 14:12)
you are doing it right, dont allow anyone to talk you out of winning

singapore wouldnt really be my thing though, too big, too fast, too humid ^_^


And a too tough work environment. From what I've heard, you're expected to work a minimum of 60 hours per week, with maybe 5 days of vacation per year.
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Aug 27 2022 08:24am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 27 2022 02:25pm)
And a too tough work environment. From what I've heard, you're expected to work a minimum of 60 hours per week, with maybe 5 days of vacation per year.


yep, these guys are working themselves to death over there

i prefer it more laid back ^_^
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Sep 1 2022 08:16pm
Talk about shit timing. Poland going full retard here. It's not like the globe is in a recession and Germany is getting it's balls squeezed by gas imports currently :wacko:


Quote
WARSAW, Sept 1 (Reuters) - Poland estimates its World War Two losses caused by Germany at 6.2 trillion zlotys ($1.32 trillion), the leader of the country's ruling nationalists said on Thursday, and he said Warsaw would officially demand reparations.

Poland's biggest trade partner and a fellow member of the European Union and NATO, Germany has previously said all financial claims linked to World War Two have been settled.



https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/poland-officially-demand-ww2-reparations-germany-says-ruling-party-boss-2022-09-01/
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Sep 1 2022 10:47pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ 2 Sep 2022 04:16)
Talk about shit timing. Poland going full retard here. It's not like the globe is in a recession and Germany is getting it's balls squeezed by gas imports currently :wacko:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/poland-officially-demand-ww2-reparations-germany-says-ruling-party-boss-2022-09-01/


Let them talk all the want, they can fuck right off.
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Sep 2 2022 01:41am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Sep 2 2022 06:47am)
Let them talk all the want, they can fuck right off.


what should get way more attention is that our dipshit foreign minister baerbock literally said that she doesnt give a fuck about what germans think

so its not entirely out of question that poland will get some money at some point ^_%
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Sep 2 2022 02:16am
Quote (JohnnyMcCoy @ 2 Sep 2022 09:41)
what should get way more attention is that our dipshit foreign minister baerbock literally said that she doesnt give a fuck about what germans think

so its not entirely out of question that poland will get some money at some point ^_%



LOL you fell for that. You should watch the whole video and not only the out of context snippet
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Sep 2 2022 02:29am
Quote (masl @ Sep 2 2022 10:16am)
LOL you fell for that. You should watch the whole video and not only the out of context snippet


i did and its not out of context? nice try buddy
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