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Aug 24 2024 08:58am
Quote (IceMage @ Aug 24 2024 09:20am)
I'm short on time but want to respond to this.
Hmmm. You seem to be equating pollical results as equivalent to debate results. If Trump did better in the primary or in the general than the debate opponent, he won the debate.
So, the performance doesn't matter substantively policy wise, all that matters are the results of the polls/votes.
I'm thinking this might contradict some of your former claims.
Apart from that, obviously he's a bad debater in a general election setting and maybe you can't recognize that. I don't know if Kamala is good or not, we will see.


You're talking about different lenses, and they aren't mutually exclusive. Nor are debates and speeches to a convention the same thing, the latter isn't competitive Trump won the debates in 2016 because he outperformed his opponents in charisma, not by winning a policy argument. He clearly won by every metric, the audience reactions, polling, the vote, the nomination, the election. Kamala won her speech at the DNC, because in front of a friendly audience with the bar set sea-level by Biden, all she had to do was get up on stage without falling over and pissing herself. That doesn't translate to an ability to debate, and the last debate she was in she performed horribly and placed dead last among the major candidates, as I said she came in even below Mike Bloomberg and dropped out after sub 3% polling.

You want to claim Trump is a bad debater because you disagree with his style, substance and personality, but you're patently ignoring his results. Whether you like it or not, every debate Trump has been in has boosted his campaign or outright demolished his opponents. Without debates, Trump would have lost at every step of the process. For contrast, even though I disagree with the style, substance and personality of Kamala, I recognize when she's getting a boost from her performance. Those are the results, she's better off today than she was a few days ago.

As to what we'll see: I know Trump's debate record is exemplary and Harris's debate record is abymsal. I'd say the most likely two results are that either Trump gets another big bump from debates, or that Harris reneges and dodges debates altogether. Most likely we're going to see one total debate in this entire election, no press conferences or public questions taken by Harris and overall just emulating Biden's basement plan of 2020 except without the Covid excuse.
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Aug 24 2024 09:22am
Quote (IceMage @ 24 Aug 2024 14:00)
And she's risen to the point of running for president... that's a great American story regardless of whether you happen to like her policies or personality.


It's a great story at a surface level, until one looks a bit closer and realizes that Kamala has gotten incredibly lucky.



Her true life story: she was born as the daughter of a Stanford professor and a cancer researcher. Her maternal grandfather was a high-ranking official of the Indian government while her paternal ancestors were members of the Jamaican elite. She is the descendent of slave-owners. She's not exactly a black girl from the ghetto who overcame poverty and underprivilege...

She kickstarted her career as the mistress of Willie Brown, the 20 year older and notoriously corrupt mayor of San Francisco. When she went into statwide politics in 2010, she came awfully close (0.8%) to blowing a race in California as the Democrat against the Republican. She eventually reached the Senate, which was no great accomplishment, considering California's overwhelming Democratic lean by the mid-2010s.

When she ran for president in 2019, it was an unmitigated disaster. Considered one of the stronger candidates on paper, she flip flopped her positions all the time, was bad on the stump and during the debates and proved utterly inept at running a campaign. The dysfunctionality of her operation was widely reported on and panned at the time.

She only became VP because Biden needed to pick a woman of color and Harris was the only one with the necessary stature.
She only became the 2024 nominee because Biden developed dementia and the DNC cheated its base out of a proper primary.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 24 2024 09:26am
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Aug 24 2024 09:26am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 24 2024 05:22pm)
It's a great story at a surface level, until one looks a bit closer and realizes that Kamala has gotten incredibly lucky.



Her true life story: she was born as the daughter of a Stanford professor and a cancer researcher. Her maternal grandfather was a high-ranking official of the Indian government while her paternal ancestors were members of the Jamaican elite. She is the descendent of slave-owners. She's not exactly a black girl from the ghetto who overcame poverty and underprivilege...

She kickstarted her career as the mistress of Willie Brown, the 20 year older and notoriously corrupt mayor of San Francisco. When she went into statwide politics in 2010, she came awfully close (0.8%) to blowing a race in California as the Democrat against the Republican. She eventually reached the Senate, which was no great accomplishment, considering California's overwhelming Democratic lean by the mid-2010s.

When she ran for president in 2019, it was an unmitigated disaster. Considered one of the stronger candidates on paper, she flip flopped her positions all the time, was bad on the stump and during the debates and proved utterly inept at running a campaign. The dysfunctionality of her operation was widely reported on and panned at the time.

She only became VP because Biden was looking for a woman of color and Harris was the only one with the necessary stature.
She only became the 2024 nominee because Biden developed dementia and the DNC cheated its base out of a proper primary.


This
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Aug 24 2024 10:20am
Quote (Goomshill @ Aug 24 2024 07:50am)
I don't begrudge it much but its just fluff, it does nothing to move the dial. Its not substantive. She might as well be Einstein playing his violin for a crowd of grannies as he did the once, because the crowd didn't care about his expertise and he had nothing to say to them about it.



You don't get to bring a pinata effigy of Trump out on stage and beat it with a baseball bat and simultaneously claim you're spreading a message of joy and forward-thinking



You know who gave the best speeches? Obama. You know what Obama talked about in his speeches?
https://www.npr.org/2008/08/28/94087570/transcript-barack-obamas-acceptance-speech

https://i.imgur.com/lnXIWB6.jpeg


Do you see the difference? How very policy-lite Kamala's speech was, and how she talked about maybe 2 total actual proposals you can read up on, and they're both just Joe Biden status quo ante return to the past policies, specifically "put the voting rights act pre-clearance restrictions on southern states back in effect" and "undo the corporate tax cut". Aaaand that's it.
Speaking of the high road and Obama, what did Trump have to say this week? That he respects Obama. Kamala is up there accusing Trump of being Hitler and Trump is holding positive vibe rallies



Trump has been so good in debates it crushed all his 2016 opponents and he might have even gotten past the covid hurdle if Biden hadn't dodged more debates in 2020, and the last debate was so disastrous it actually yeeted Biden right out of the race. The last time Kamala was in a presidential debate she polled at 3% and dropped out before the primaries. After her last debate she polled lower than Mike Bloomberg and half the audience wanted him guillotine'd


So she's claiming lobbyists that write the laws under her administration will write the laws for the American people?
Did the Seals clap at this too?

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Aug 24 2024 11:38am
but really just compare and contrast those acceptance speeches

Obama in 2008, Trump in 2024, Kamala in 2024

Obama talked high minded ideals, praised McCain on a personal level but criticized Bush and McCain on policy, and gave most of his speech about his own policies including lots of specifics
Trump talked high minded ideals, criticized Biden on policy, gave most of his speech about his own policies including lots of specifics, and completely ignored Kamala
Kamala talked about herself mostly, criticized Trump mostly on a personal level, impugned his motives, wanted him locked up, accused him of supporting our enemies, and the only policies she mentioned were Biden policies.


Obama was by far the best speaker, most aspirational and eloquent. Trump rambled wildly and strayed from topic to topic but he stayed mostly positive and did not delve into the kind of low road grievance politics that Kamala shamefully traded in, making American politics look bad on a national stage again. Trump was out there saluting the people who died in the attack on him, Kamala stopped just short of saying the gunman had the right idea
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Aug 24 2024 03:12pm
Harris was propped up as Vice President (for the last 4 years) by the Biden Admin to appear as a leadership role.

Once Harris failed at all of their tasks given by the Biden Admin, Her last 4 years are swept under the rug.

It will be a 100% disaster to America if Harris wins.

e-typo fix

This post was edited by Mondain on Aug 24 2024 03:18pm
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Aug 24 2024 04:31pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 24 2024 07:54am)
That "bipartisan" border bill was full of poison pills and strongly denounced by the vast majority of Senate Republicans, even before Trump spoke out against it. Multiple GOP senators laid out in detail why this bill sucked and they opposed it. The bill was categorically unsuited to accomplish its ostensible goal and solve the border crisis.

In reality, McConnell and this Lankford guy had negotiated a bad bill which was a betrayal of many longstanding GOP goals with regard to immigration. A bill which would have done far more to enshrine the current, unacceptable status quo at the border than to actually secure it. The whole purpose of this bill was to deflect from the utter failure of the Biden/Harris administration on the border and to give Democrats a convenient talking point which uncritical partisans can regurgitate.

The leadership of the border patrol union endorsed the bill, but countless rank and file members spoke out against it. Union leadership being in cahoots with Democrats is nothing new. More generally speaking, it is a political phenomenon which can be observed all across the Western world and all across different industries that there is a growing gulf between union leadership, which is happily on board with liberal and/or woke policies, and the actual working-class rank and file union members.


What was so bad about the bill? You're speaking vaguely about it. Democrats supported the bill so before Trump went against it, it was likely to pass.

The border patrol union in cahoots with Democrats? Uh.... what are you talking about?

Also, this is a hallmark of people who never want to get anything done. Complain that a bill isn't exactly what you want, therefore the situation stays the same. Would the bill have made the situation better or worse?

Quote (Goomshill @ Aug 24 2024 07:58am)
You're talking about different lenses, and they aren't mutually exclusive. Nor are debates and speeches to a convention the same thing, the latter isn't competitive Trump won the debates in 2016 because he outperformed his opponents in charisma, not by winning a policy argument. He clearly won by every metric, the audience reactions, polling, the vote, the nomination, the election. Kamala won her speech at the DNC, because in front of a friendly audience with the bar set sea-level by Biden, all she had to do was get up on stage without falling over and pissing herself. That doesn't translate to an ability to debate, and the last debate she was in she performed horribly and placed dead last among the major candidates, as I said she came in even below Mike Bloomberg and dropped out after sub 3% polling.

You want to claim Trump is a bad debater because you disagree with his style, substance and personality, but you're patently ignoring his results. Whether you like it or not, every debate Trump has been in has boosted his campaign or outright demolished his opponents. Without debates, Trump would have lost at every step of the process. For contrast, even though I disagree with the style, substance and personality of Kamala, I recognize when she's getting a boost from her performance. Those are the results, she's better off today than she was a few days ago.

As to what we'll see: I know Trump's debate record is exemplary and Harris's debate record is abymsal. I'd say the most likely two results are that either Trump gets another big bump from debates, or that Harris reneges and dodges debates altogether. Most likely we're going to see one total debate in this entire election, no press conferences or public questions taken by Harris and overall just emulating Biden's basement plan of 2020 except without the Covid excuse.


I'm too lazy to look up the data, but I would be surprised if it showed that Trump benefitted from every debate he's been in. Since you seem to have confidence in the data that Trump immediately benefitted from every debate, go ahead and post it here.

I think Trump benefitted from the primary debates for sure, and obviously the 2024 debate, mostly because Biden was a walking corpse. I'm not judging it with my Trump-hating lenses... Trump was strong and disciplined in the debate with Biden. It was an impressive performance based on the standards of how he usually performs in debates.

Also I believe there's a distinction between winning a debate and the politics of a debate... and debates and political conventions are different things. Hillary won all her debates with Trump, but politically it probably didn't do much to benefit her.

@bold: :lol: Man you sound so ridiculous sometimes.

The idea of Harris dodging the first debate is absurd. My guess is that Harris wins the debate, but not in a way that moves the dials much politically. And if the second debate doesn't happen it'll be because Trump drops out.

This post was edited by IceMage on Aug 24 2024 04:42pm
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Aug 24 2024 04:39pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Aug 24 2024 08:22am)
It's a great story at a surface level, until one looks a bit closer and realizes that Kamala has gotten incredibly lucky.



Her true life story: she was born as the daughter of a Stanford professor and a cancer researcher. Her maternal grandfather was a high-ranking official of the Indian government while her paternal ancestors were members of the Jamaican elite. She is the descendent of slave-owners. She's not exactly a black girl from the ghetto who overcame poverty and underprivilege...

She kickstarted her career as the mistress of Willie Brown, the 20 year older and notoriously corrupt mayor of San Francisco. When she went into statwide politics in 2010, she came awfully close (0.8%) to blowing a race in California as the Democrat against the Republican. She eventually reached the Senate, which was no great accomplishment, considering California's overwhelming Democratic lean by the mid-2010s.

When she ran for president in 2019, it was an unmitigated disaster. Considered one of the stronger candidates on paper, she flip flopped her positions all the time, was bad on the stump and during the debates and proved utterly inept at running a campaign. The dysfunctionality of her operation was widely reported on and panned at the time.

She only became VP because Biden needed to pick a woman of color and Harris was the only one with the necessary stature.
She only became the 2024 nominee because Biden developed dementia and the DNC cheated its base out of a proper primary.


Ah yes, I'm sure her paternal ancestors being members of the Jamaican elite helped her greatly in her American journey. :lol:

This post was edited by IceMage on Aug 24 2024 04:40pm
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Aug 24 2024 04:45pm
Quote (IceMage @ Aug 24 2024 10:39pm)
Ah yes, I'm sure her paternal ancestors being members of the Jamaican elite helped her greatly in her American journey. :lol:


I bet Harris can't even speak Jamaican.

Just one more thing she has failed at.
Failing upwards.
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Aug 24 2024 07:24pm
Quote (Mondain @ Aug 24 2024 05:45pm)
I bet Harris can't even speak Jamaican.

Just one more thing she has failed at.
Failing upwards.


My mom is 100% German. Came from Germany and all.

I can't speak German, other than a few words and lines.

I know dozens of people with asian parents, can't speak a lick of it other than English. Your argument is bad.
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