Quote (ofthevoid @ Aug 9 2024 09:31am)
Do you think this trend became known over the last 12 months or was apparent for years now? I mean the chord cutting trend and millennials and younger watching less TV instead streaming or consuming media via social media, w.e. has been well known even at the time when this deal happened 3 years ago. So then the management/CEO had a severe miscalculation of these assets value and that's why we're seeing these charge downs. The got bamboozled and overpaid for shit assets, and now the share value is down 75% over last 5 years, at a time when SPY is up 84% over same time frame.
Yes, you absolutely push write-downs as far out as you can until you can just take a bath in a year and what a perfect time with WBD's stock already being cut down to where it is. This is just common practice, its why audits are so worthless time and time again. Was it known at the time of purchase, I'd have to assume so and it was a disservice to shareholders, but during that sort of COVID era every business was paying massive premiums that made no sense at all for businesses and then instantly things got written down. The tech sector was littered with it, acquire and worry if it was worth it later. Fintech probably being the worst offender but it was happening across the board.
I mean you're in finance, I don't know if you have had to work with external or internal audit, but its a joke. You can borderline get anything past them. Its not much different for valuators either.
This digs up the early days of my career working internal audit for a large pub-co, the co-op students did the vast majority of the work, me being one of them. Its laughable. External audits not much better, level 1's, 2's and seniors with a total of 3 years experience doing the vast majority of all work prior to manager review, then partner, then QC & FSQC , but by that time all the works already been done. Valuations are done by the same inexperienced staff that went a slightly different route in public practice.
Just looking, looks like Paramount wrote its cable TV business off too. Take a bath now, try to over perform the next few quarters via transforming the intellectual property acquired. Given cable TV has clearly been in a decline, presumably they do have a future plan for that intellectual property.
This post was edited by SBD on Aug 9 2024 09:53am