d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Off-Topic > General Chat > Political & Religious Debate > Election Day Megathread
Prev1522523524525526534Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Dec 4 2020 11:46am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 3 2020 07:23pm)
Finally something we can agree on tonight, at least as a more general description of the labor market since 2000. :)
However, it should be kept in mind that using the median (household) income as the metric mutes the impact of spoils going disproportionately to the highest earners. This type of a ""good"" economy doesnt move the median very much.

The way I read the numbers is that the median grew from 2014 to 2017 because it took that long until the bulk of families from the 3nd through 6th decile of the income distribution had overcome the lingering effects of the Great Recession and gotten back to where they left off in 2007. Then, things stalled for a bit, and it took until 2019 before labor market had finally tightened enough for average workers to get their long overdue pay raise. (And then along came covid... )


The median income (which was on an upward trend before he took office since about 2012) is an indicator that people are being paid more, but it also is deceptive. For instance I'd expect it to go up since we are increasingly seeing a split economy where low wage workers get screwed and lose jobs, but high skilled workers get paid more for their skills, and gig workers aren't getting a "wage" so they don't get factored in. I.e. if you were making $15 an hour, got fired, and now drive for Uber to make ends meet you don't count as unemployed and you don't count in wage calculations, so even though a ton of people are worse off the statistics continue to look like they're getting better.

and even so, you need to show what Trump actually did to make improvements. Trump increased the deficit with tax cuts which spurred growth, but like I said, any president if allowed to do that would see massive short term growth at the expense of the long term. This is more or less the modern Republican playbook. Cut taxes, spend like hell during their own administrations so a Republican president gets all the credit for the growing economy, then harp about the deficit under Democrats so they can stall growth.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Dec 4 2020 11:46am
Member
Posts: 54,089
Joined: May 26 2005
Gold: 4,945.67
Dec 4 2020 12:55pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 4 Dec 2020 18:46)
The median income (which was on an upward trend before he took office since about 2012) is an indicator that people are being paid more

Income recovery lagged behind the economic recovery. The increases in median income from 2012 to roughly 2014 were still the "immediate" catch up phase after the recession.


Quote
but it also is deceptive. For instance I'd expect it to go up since we are increasingly seeing a split economy where low wage workers get screwed and lose jobs, but high skilled workers get paid more for their skills,

This kind of development on its own would lead to a decreasing median...

Quote
and gig workers aren't getting a "wage" so they don't get factored in. I.e. if you were making $15 an hour, got fired, and now drive for Uber to make ends meet you don't count as unemployed and you don't count in wage calculations, so even though a ton of people are worse off the statistics continue to look like they're getting better.

That's a good point - if true. If workers at the bottom of the income pyramid are disproportionately dropping out of the statistic, this would artificially inflate the median income. I'm not sure, however, if gig workers are really falling through all the cracks of this statistic. "Household income" should be a category that captures most unemployed or irregularly-but-not-illegally employed people.

Quote
and even so, you need to show what Trump actually did to make improvements. Trump increased the deficit with tax cuts which spurred growth, but like I said, any president if allowed to do that would see massive short term growth at the expense of the long term.

This criticism cuts both ways. If valid, it applies to Obama's economic recovery just as much as to Trump's.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Dec 4 2020 12:56pm
Member
Posts: 33,921
Joined: Oct 9 2008
Gold: 2,528.52
Dec 5 2020 02:51pm
64% of people in Georgia think the election was rigged.

My bet is that the results won't be certified.
Member
Posts: 49,289
Joined: Jun 18 2006
Gold: 11.77
Dec 5 2020 02:58pm
https://twitter.com/KristenhCNN/status/1335305701132910593

Quote
Confirming Washington Post:

President Trump called GA Governor Kemp asking him to convince state legislators to overturn Biden’s win in GA. Trump requested Kemp call a special session & urge state legislators to select their own electors that would support Trump, source says


74 million people voted for this asshole.
Member
Posts: 49,289
Joined: Jun 18 2006
Gold: 11.77
Dec 8 2020 04:30pm
https://twitter.com/KimberlyRobinsn/status/1336426225456328704

Quote
#SCOTUS rejects GOP bid to stop Pennsylvania from certifying its election results. No noted dissent.


Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Dec 8 2020 04:53pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 4 2020 12:55pm)
This criticism cuts both ways. If valid, it applies to Obama's economic recovery just as much as to Trump's.


Yeah pretty much. Presidents don't actually have that much control over the economy, and I said as much the whole first 2 years of Trump's presidency.
Member
Posts: 32,103
Joined: Dec 29 2009
Gold: 0.00
Dec 8 2020 04:55pm
Quote (IceMage @ Dec 8 2020 04:30pm)


Yup. Didn't even grant cert, which was what I expected.
Member
Posts: 54,089
Joined: May 26 2005
Gold: 4,945.67
Dec 8 2020 04:56pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 8 Dec 2020 23:53)
Yeah pretty much. Presidents don't actually have that much control over the economy, and I said as much the whole first 2 years of Trump's presidency.


I've been saying for 4 years that the president's influence on the economy is generally overrated. Still contradicts the popular Democratic talking point that "Trump just continued Obama's economcy". ;)
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Dec 8 2020 04:56pm
Quote (Surfpunk @ Dec 8 2020 04:55pm)
Yup. Didn't even grant cert, which was what I expected.


What everybody who knows even the basics expected.
Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
Dec 8 2020 04:57pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Dec 8 2020 04:56pm)
I've been saying for 4 years that the president's influence on the economy is generally overrated. Still contradicts the popular Democratic talking point that "Trump just continued Obama's economy". ;)


It doesn't contradict that at all lol

It's a statement of incontrovertible fact.

Obama can not have much control, and Trump can still just be a continuation of Obama's economy. Actually, presidents having little control virtually guarantees that they are riding the previous president's economy for at least 2 years.
Go Back To Political & Religious Debate Topic List
Prev1522523524525526534Next
Add Reply New Topic New Poll