Quote (kenw @ 7 Jul 2021 05:12)
I'm curious to see if Hispanics will persist in voting for the GOP or if it was just a fluke due to the socialism fear-mongering. This might be the determining factor since they are the biggest non-white demographic.
Yeah, I think that's the big question going forward: were Trump's improvements with hispanics in 2020 a one-off due to the specific circumstances of that election, or were they indicative of a longer-term trend?
Hispanics are disproportionately working in service industries and they are disproportionately small business owners, both of which were battered by the pandemic. In this sense, I can see Trump's anti-lockdown stance falling on fertile ground with them.
Additionally, the summer of BLM, riots and looting, as well as the extreme focus of Democrats and the media on blacks and their issues, might have alienated some hispanics and given them the feeling that their interests were taking a back seat for Democrats.
These two issues were unique to 2020 and won't be replicable.
An alternative explanation would be the following: in Latin American countries, charismatic populists and celebrities with outsized media presence have always been doing well. Perhaps a version of Donald Trump that isn't talking about Mexican rapists and border walls all the time is actually a good fit for latino voters, personality-wise. If this factor contributed significantly to Trump's inroads with latinos, then the GOP would be ill-advised running stiff bores again. (Although that type plays better in upscale suburbs where they need to staunch the bleeding...)
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 6 2021 09:31pm