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Jul 14 2024 05:28pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 15 Jul 2024 00:52)
My running question for years now is whether the cycle of constant escalation would push us over the edge into catastrophe, or if we could fall back into civility. It seemed like there would be no organic crest, no point at which it just stops on its own, so would we reach a critical event at which either the country could destabilize and break out into chaos and the democracy be broken, or it could snap us back to reality and give people a reason to unify. Seminal moments like this. We've been in a car traveling at high speeds falling asleep at the wheel, and the moment we hit those rumble strips, will we wake up and drive straight or will we tumble off the road, roll over and hit a tree and burst into flames?

I'm hoping this is the former. It doesn't matter who wins the election between Trump and Biden as much as whether the country can get back to a civil path. If Trump gets a second term and the democrats go down the same path as they did for his first term, with endless witch hunts, sabotage, spying, leaking, charges and riots and burning down cities- we're not going to return to civility. If Republicans decide to fight fire with fire and prosecute all Trump's political opponents, hold inquisitions and lock up journalists and mass arrest protesters and give them decades in prison because we disagree with their politics- we're not going to return to civility.

People are acting like Trump being shot at is some unprecedent gigantic escalation, but the truth is its one very small step on the long road up to this point. Democrats have been arguing Trump should be put in prison for life, they are literally seeking to give him hundreds of years of prison time over some completely made up bullshit charges, ones that would find Biden guilty on the same theory and evidence. Tell me, what is the difference between killing someone and putting them in prison for life? I've said before in arguments about the death penalty that its a pretty minor functional difference, a life sentence is just as brutal. Democrats wanted Trump in prison for life, this kid wanted him dead, a pretty minor extra step from one official policy to one unofficial policy the democrats had already been toying with anyway




Looking back through some of my bookmarks, I realized with shock and horror that what I wrote in the aftermath of Jan 6, a whopping three years ago, still fits to a T.:
https://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=84483633&f=119&p=566498567#p566498567

Quote (Black XistenZ @ 10 Jan 2021 20:09)
America does not just have a problem with the normalization of political violence. The reason violence is normalized and that people are turning their backs on democracy itself is that democratic elections in America are increasingly failing to resolve political tensions. Polarization and antagonism have increased for over 25 years, and neither side has been able to achieve a lasting victory in this conflict via sustained electoral success. The political power in the country keeps being balanced on a knife's edge while people feel like the consequences of either side winning keep going up all the time. Just to remind everyone: flip 35k votes in the right places from Trump to Clinton in 2016, and she becomes president. Flip just 20k votes in the right places from Biden to Trump, and Trump remains president.

The problem America is facing is not just one of the means of conflict escalating - the true problem is that the conflict itself is getting increasingly fundamental. The country is breaking apart into two sides whose views, ideologies and ideas of the future are increasingly disparate and irreconcilable. Meaningful compromise might no longer be possible, and, as Wednesday shows, democratic elections themselves might also have lost their ability to resolve this conflict. It seems like, if forced to choose between their political beliefs and democracy, an increasing share of the population would ditch democracy. If electoral defeat is not an option anymore, civil war is the only remaining exit.


This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Jul 14 2024 05:28pm
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Jul 14 2024 05:42pm
trump gonna win now. lmao
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Jul 14 2024 05:48pm
Quote (Budgeting @ Jul 14 2024 06:42pm)
trump gonna win now. lmao


He was going to win after that disaster of a debate tbh
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Jul 14 2024 05:56pm
Quote (zorzin @ Jul 14 2024 04:11pm)
The important thing to look at is wether or not this guy was on ssri's and what his parents political affiliations are.


SSRIs yes but his parents? My parents are to the right of Trump and I'm a commie so that's not really a tell.
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Jul 14 2024 05:59pm
Quote (inkanddagger @ Jul 14 2024 07:56pm)
SSRIs yes but his parents? My parents are to the right of Trump and I'm a commie so that's not really a tell.


Still a good tell usually. Most kids rebel from religious parents.
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Jul 14 2024 06:04pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 14 2024 05:52pm)
My running question for years now is whether the cycle of constant escalation would push us over the edge into catastrophe, or if we could fall back into civility. It seemed like there would be no organic crest, no point at which it just stops on its own, so would we reach a critical event at which either the country could destabilize and break out into chaos and the democracy be broken, or it could snap us back to reality and give people a reason to unify. Seminal moments like this. We've been in a car traveling at high speeds falling asleep at the wheel, and the moment we hit those rumble strips, will we wake up and drive straight or will we tumble off the road, roll over and hit a tree and burst into flames?

I'm hoping this is the former. It doesn't matter who wins the election between Trump and Biden as much as whether the country can get back to a civil path. If Trump gets a second term and the democrats go down the same path as they did for his first term, with endless witch hunts, sabotage, spying, leaking, charges and riots and burning down cities- we're not going to return to civility. If Republicans decide to fight fire with fire and prosecute all Trump's political opponents, hold inquisitions and lock up journalists and mass arrest protesters and give them decades in prison because we disagree with their politics- we're not going to return to civility.

People are acting like Trump being shot at is some unprecedent gigantic escalation, but the truth is its one very small step on the long road up to this point. Democrats have been arguing Trump should be put in prison for life, they are literally seeking to give him hundreds of years of prison time over some completely made up bullshit charges, ones that would find Biden guilty on the same theory and evidence. Tell me, what is the difference between killing someone and putting them in prison for life? I've said before in arguments about the death penalty that its a pretty minor functional difference, a life sentence is just as brutal. Democrats wanted Trump in prison for life, this kid wanted him dead, a pretty minor extra step from one official policy to one unofficial policy the democrats had already been toying with anyway


The main things causing this are the electoral college and gerrymandering. Otherwise you wouldn't have seen a Republican president this century or a Republican majority in the House. Bush only got the popular vote in 2004 because of the Iraq war, and if he hadn't already been in office no way would a Republican have won the popular vote. So 24 years without Republicans wielding any power except in a few states and only at the state level. Instead they hold control over the Supreme Court and can shape policy even from the minority. Democrats always temper their polices to cater to Republican voices, while shutting down the farther left. Republicans have no such civility. Allowing such a vocal minority to have more power than the silent center-left moderately liberal majority prevents natural progress and leads to social conflict.

This post was edited by inkanddagger on Jul 14 2024 06:10pm
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Jul 14 2024 06:08pm
https://x.com/DougAMacgregor/status/1812622220591526109

Dmac is wrong on this one. I don't think the secret service had eyes on this guy till he fired. He was visually covered from those snipers in that picture. This kid just simply waltzed right in like he owned the place and not a single person supposed to protect Trump thought someone would take his approach angle.

It was "the perfect spot"
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Jul 14 2024 06:09pm
Sadly, Trump will use this to act like he's some warrior. The same unathletic draft dodger will act like he's a war veteran now 😂
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Jul 14 2024 06:11pm
Quote (Sixers @ 14 Jul 2024 20:09)
Sadly, Trump will use this to act like he's some warrior. The same unathletic draft dodger will act like he's a war veteran now 😂


This is a pretty good take on the kind of people on the left and how they view Trump. Dude will automatically think of Trump saying he survived means he's acting like a war veteran
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Jul 14 2024 06:11pm
Quote (Tocino @ Jul 14 2024 07:24pm)
Every event probably has some level of threat(s) that are constantly being evaluated by secret service. If they took Trump off the stage for every potential incident it would be bad for Trump’s image. I don’t think it’s unlikely that Trump has these kind of conversations with SS. He doesn’t want to ruin his speech and image, unless they are certain of imminent danger. I don’t mean to blame Trump, I actually applaud him for his bravery.

Obviously the SS failed, but at the same time their job is hard. Especially if they could not visually confirm a rifle. It would be pretty horrible publicity to kill some photographer kid climbing a ladder to take a long “shot”.

Edit: typos

your prior wording definitely came off blameful, but i can see the view you're coming from. it's actually not far-fetched to think such without more knowledge about how the S.S. would operate at an event like this normally.
however, this is where i'm going to burst the bubble.

these locations are secured days before, and during arrival. the job of the S.S., CS-teams, other federal and local law enforcement is not to "deal with" a certain scenario. their job is to set up the scenario to prevent failure.
you may see this "rooftop shooter" as being outside of the perimeter of S.S. active protection, but it's far from it. S.S. and other law enforcement deal with these issues before it gets to this point because of how thoroughly it is prevented.

this was one of the easiest places to prevent such an incident. the stage was blocked off from nearly every angle except for the location of the shooter. this wasn't in downtown Chicago with high-rise apartments stacked for miles.

Quote (inkanddagger @ Jul 14 2024 07:56pm)
SSRIs yes but his parents? My parents are to the right of Trump and I'm a commie so that's not really a tell.

it has to do with explosives found, along with alleged idea that his parents were professionals in psychiatric/medicinal fields.
meaning, they may have been diagnosing and prescribing themselves (or able to diagnose). which would be fine i think, but leaves questions pertaining to intentional or negligible association to this instance. especially with explosives.

allegedly, the gun was also his dad's which was purchased ~6months prior.

things to look into, though it's not concerning what their political affiliations are without something else i've not heard of. it would have to be pretty explosive imo for it to matter in that way
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