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Mar 10 2023 08:06am
Quote (Sioux @ Mar 10 2023 01:53am)
What evidence do you have for that claim besides your predilection for racism?


It's very simple.
If you have a snake in a basket, then take the snake out.
But then replace with another snake.
You still have a snake in a basket.
Hope this helps.
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Mar 10 2023 10:29am
Quote (Sioux @ 10 Mar 2023 07:42)
Seems like a lot of conjecture with no data just to side with the racists. People exonerated for murder are disproportionately black.

We are both just some randos on an ancient video game forum, we're not engaging in a scholarly debate or anything like that. I'm not gonna put undue amounts of effort into rigorously proving basic assertions that any non-biased person knows to be true, like for example that the relationship between the black community and the police is particularly bad, or that the police doesn't have a good grip on gang territority. Nor on common sense points like, e.g., that a lower share of murders than drug offenses/assaults/thefts goes undetected/unreported.

By the way: all the stuff I said is echoed by an actual crime analyst in the following interview (which is worth a read anyhow):
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/07/police-murder-clearance-rate/661500/

For those interested: he says the drop in clearance rate for murder cases has multiple reasons, but the single largest contributor is the rise of the share of gun murders (relative to other means of murdering people).

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 10 2023 10:30am
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Mar 10 2023 10:30am
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 9 2023 11:19pm)
Whats the impact when you do it in one case? An impact on an individual, and what they would or wouldn't do with their freedom
Whats the impact when you do it systematically, in every case? An impact on a society, and the violent crimes that threaten the public, committed by those violent criminals set free- and those emboldened by the knowledge nothing will be done to them

That's what we're seeing right now in Minneapolis. A gigantic spike in crime, especially random violent crime against strangers, perpetrated by young criminals with no fear of the law and knowing they'll face no consequences.
Try parking a Kia or Hyundai in North Minneapolis lmao. Maybe you can put some notches on the side of it for how many murders it was involved in before you find it abandoned some day (and totaled).


The benefit of locking up these murderers until their 30s- or preferably, well beyond, or never at all- is that they won't threaten society again. A sense of justice or vengeance isn't a pragmatic function, nor is society better served by the potential of their rehabilitation weighed against the near-certainty they'll commit more violent crime in the future. But that's just two teens. Now apply it to an entire city, and you get what we're at in Minneapolis, where most criminals being arrested for violent crimes already have 30+ convictions, often many felonies, some already have murders too. And Mary Moriarty here represents a significant change in how things will be handled in the future- even more leniently.


While I understand the considerations of future crimes being committed and of recidivism, and also of the cascading potential impact that a knowledge of lessened consequences has on crime rates within the community at-large, I just don't see how harsher punishments are going to move a city like Minneapolis to a better future. I'll need to do more independent research on this, but my knowledge thus far suggests that crime is a symptom of a much larger issue--not the issue itself.
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Mar 10 2023 10:42am
Quote (Handcuffs @ 10 Mar 2023 17:30)
While I understand the considerations of future crimes being committed and of recidivism, and also of the cascading potential impact that a knowledge of lessened consequences has on crime rates within the community at-large, I just don't see how harsher punishments are going to move a city like Minneapolis to a better future. I'll need to do more independent research on this, but my knowledge thus far suggests that crime is a symptom of a much larger issue--not the issue itself.


Even if crime is a symptom of a larger issue (poverty, deprivation, lack of opportunity, neglect), letting it go unchecked actively undermines any efforts at solving these root causes. How are you going to address poverty and lack of opportunity if a place is a crime-infested hellhole where theft and street violence are rampant? Will anyone open shops or offices in such a place, create jobs or invest in dilapidated infrastructure? Will government checks and better public schools amount to much if you let drug dealers and gangs roam free?
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Mar 10 2023 10:46am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 10 2023 08:42am)
Even if crime is a symptom of a larger issue (poverty, deprivation, lack of opportunity, neglect), letting it go unchecked actively undermines any efforts at solving these root causes. How are you going to address poverty and lack of opportunity if a place is a crime-infested hellhole where theft and street violence are rampant? Will anyone open shops or offices in such a place, create jobs or invest in dilapidated infrastructure? Will government checks and better public schools amount to much if you let drug dealers and gangs roam free?


I don't know it's about letting people "roam free", so much as it is acknowledging that the American "justice" system is largely a vengeance/punishment system, and we do next to nothing in terms of rehabilitation.
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Mar 10 2023 10:55am
Quote (Handcuffs @ 10 Mar 2023 17:46)
I don't know it's about letting people "roam free", so much as it is acknowledging that the American "justice" system is largely a vengeance/punishment system, and we do next to nothing in terms of rehabilitation.

That's not an either-or situation if you ask me. We can acknowledge the shortcomings of the justice system and its failure at rehabilitation and still argue that removing murderers or serial criminals from the streets is a net positive to their community.

And even if liberals don't like to hear this, deterrence is still a factor. If young people who are on the fence watch severe crime lead to significant punishment, it will make it a tad harder for them to go down the same path, for whatever that's worth. On the flip side, if they watch severe crime being caught by the police and then go actively unpunished by the justice system, what kind of signal does that send? Yes, conservatives have often times abused the deterrence argument as a cover for their desire for vengeance, but this does not mean that deterrence is completely pointless or ineffective either.
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Mar 10 2023 10:56am
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Mar 10 2023 08:55am)
That's not an either-or situation if you ask me. We can acknowledge the shortcomings of the justice system and its failure at rehabilitation and still argue that removing murderers or serial criminals from the streets is a net positive to their community.

And even if liberals don't like to hear this, deterrence is still a factor. If young people who are on the fence watch severe crime lead to significant punishment, it will make it a tad harder for them to go down the same path, for whatever that's worth. On the flip side, if they watch severe crime being caught by the police and then go actively unpunished by the justice system, what kind of signal does that send? Yes, conservatives have often times abused the deterrence argument as a cover for their desire for vengeance, but this does not mean that deterrence is completely pointless or ineffective either.


I do think deterrence is a factor, I don't deny that. I just don't think that deterrence via harsher punishments is the boon to a society that conservatives seem to suggest that it is or would be.
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Mar 10 2023 11:30am
Quote (Handcuffs @ Mar 10 2023 10:30am)
While I understand the considerations of future crimes being committed and of recidivism, and also of the cascading potential impact that a knowledge of lessened consequences has on crime rates within the community at-large, I just don't see how harsher punishments are going to move a city like Minneapolis to a better future. I'll need to do more independent research on this, but my knowledge thus far suggests that crime is a symptom of a much larger issue--not the issue itself.


I can see it easily making a big difference on moving that needle. A vastly disproportionate amount of violent crime is being committed by a tiny sliver of recidivist felons who are known to law enforcement, and notably are being repeatedly arrested and convicted and yet still being set free every time. The police chief estimated its about 2 to 3 dozen felons in the city responsible for almost all of the rampant auto thefts in the city- nearly 100 per week. And they've been arrested dozens of times each. AG Ellison's answer? Lock them in prison? No. He's suing Kia and Hyundai for their car models being stolen even though they comply with all anti-theft regulations.

Put the serial offenders in prison and crime would evaporate overnight, and we'd see a lot less people willing to join their ranks
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Mar 10 2023 12:18pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 10 2023 11:30am)
I can see it easily making a big difference on moving that needle. A vastly disproportionate amount of violent crime is being committed by a tiny sliver of recidivist felons who are known to law enforcement, and notably are being repeatedly arrested and convicted and yet still being set free every time. The police chief estimated its about 2 to 3 dozen felons in the city responsible for almost all of the rampant auto thefts in the city- nearly 100 per week. And they've been arrested dozens of times each. AG Ellison's answer? Lock them in prison? No. He's suing Kia and Hyundai for their car models being stolen even though they comply with all anti-theft regulations.

Put the serial offenders in prison and crime would evaporate overnight, and we'd see a lot less people willing to join their ranks


that logic was applied to gang activity in the 90s and 2000s in places like LA, NYC, Chicago, etc.

it results in a short term alleviation, and then resurgence. there's always more teenagers who want a fancy watch and will sell crack to get it.

catch and release or lenient sentencing are an issue for sure, especially when applied to violent crimes, but harsh enforcement isn't an end all be all solution.
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Mar 10 2023 01:33pm
Quote (Handcuffs @ 10 Mar 2023 17:56)
I do think deterrence is a factor, I don't deny that. I just don't think that deterrence via harsher punishments is the boon to a society that conservatives seem to suggest that it is or would be.

Agreed. Past a certain point, disproportionately harsh sentences don't reduce crime anymore and lead to negative side effects. The key point of this thread, however, is that the movement in the opposite direction which progressive DAs are leading is also detrimental. The point is that there also seems to exist some sort of "minimum standard of adequate punishment", and that failing to meet this minimum standard will see crime rates explode.

Present-day calls by conservatives for a reversal of obviously failed "progressive criminal justice reform" seems well-justified to me and should not be conflated with the calls for an overly punitive penalty scale from 20 or 30 years ago. Locking somebody away for 10 years for the possession of minor amounts of drugs was a mistake - but so is locking away first degree murderers for just 2 years.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Mar 10 2023 01:36pm
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