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Jun 28 2016 04:14pm
My four day suspension for calling Bazi names is done.

Your celebration is now over.

Quote (IgoSoHard @ Jun 28 2016 04:45pm)






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Jun 28 2016 04:19pm
The poor guy just can't catch a break. He literally gave his speech in front of a big pile of garbage: https://twitter.com/Rob_Flaherty/status/747858001520922624

Quote (stimpy6298 @ Jun 27 2016 02:58pm)
Calling trump a flip flopper jay? have you seen your candidate ? Just because it might take 3 months, 6 months, 2 years doesn't make it any different


Yeah false equivalence is obviously not going to work here. You're better off quitting while you're way behind. Also, Trump's a politician: he's a major party's nominee for president, ran in their primary in 2012, formed an exploratory committee for the Reform Party's nomination in 2000, and considered running in 1988. He's what we call a "perennial candidate."

Quote (majorblood @ Jun 27 2016 11:47pm)


I've been seeing this rallying cry the past few days as his supporters mistake his scrambling for fundraising prowess. I've got some bad news for you: Trump's joint vehicles weren't set up to fund coordinated non-allocable efforts in the different battlegrounds, only to route money directly to the RNC. That's campaign-speak for "Trump has no mechanism for funding state-based campaigns where he wants to compete." He's completely at the mercy of the RNC to keep him alive and not just to triage him.

Only the first $5.4k raised by "Trump Victory" goes to his campaign anyway (and in 3 weeks it'll only be the first $2.7k). The next $233k goes to the RNC, the $110k after that go to the state parties.
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Jun 28 2016 04:34pm
Quote (Pollster @ Jun 28 2016 06:19pm)
The poor guy just can't catch a break. He literally gave his speech in front of a big pile of garbage: https://twitter.com/Rob_Flaherty/status/747858001520922624



Yeah false equivalence is obviously not going to work here. You're better off quitting while you're way behind. Also, Trump's a politician: he's a major party's nominee for president, ran in their primary in 2012, formed an exploratory committee for the Reform Party's nomination in 2000, and considered running in 1988. He's what we call a "perennial candidate."



I've been seeing this rallying cry the past few days as his supporters mistake his scrambling for fundraising prowess. I've got some bad news for you: Trump's joint vehicles weren't set up to fund coordinated non-allocable efforts in the different battlegrounds, only to route money directly to the RNC. That's campaign-speak for "Trump has no mechanism for funding state-based campaigns where he wants to compete." He's completely at the mercy of the RNC to keep him alive and not just to triage him.

Only the first $5.4k raised by "Trump Victory" goes to his campaign anyway (and in 3 weeks it'll only be the first $2.7k). The next $233k goes to the RNC, the $110k after that go to the state parties.


He is somewhat at the mercy of the RNC, and most of them want him dead at this point.
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Jun 28 2016 05:19pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jun 28 2016 03:34pm)
He is somewhat at the mercy of the RNC, and most of them want him dead at this point.


Somewhat? He's TOTALLY at their mercy! There's never been a nominee half as dependent on the RNC/DNC. He's 100% reliant on their field staff, data operation, digital operation, in-house analytics operation, opposition research team, rapid-response communication staff, and still almost 100% reliant on their fundraising operation.

The RNC is rushing to double it's field staff in the battlegrounds on account of how much pressure he's put on them by wasting his time. So if they want to send huge segments of those teams to states like AZ, NC, FL, CO, or WI to work on Senate races where he's not going to play well, he pretty much just has to say "okay, do whatever you want." He practically has no control.

Quote (excellence @ Jun 26 2016 10:11am)
"METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone June 20-23, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including 836 registered voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample, and 4 points for registered voters. Partisan divisions are 36-24-33 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample"


Just saw this lol. You think there's something wrong with this methodology or sample? The breakdown's well within line of the national electorate. The 2012 exit was 38D-32R-29I, this looks like what you'd expect the country to look like after GOP base voters have had 4 additional years to hide under the "Independent" label. They've been doing it for a decade, Trump supporters and otherwise clueless Republicans simply weren't aware of it before they started whining about the poll because they don't know anything about elections haha.
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Jun 28 2016 05:25pm
Quote (Pollster @ 28 Jun 2016 19:19)
Somewhat? He's TOTALLY at their mercy! There's never been a nominee half as dependent on the RNC/DNC. He's 100% reliant on their field staff, data operation, digital operation, in-house analytics operation, opposition research team, rapid-response communication staff, and still almost 100% reliant on their fundraising operation.

The RNC is rushing to double it's field staff in the battlegrounds on account of how much pressure he's put on them by wasting his time. So if they want to send huge segments of those teams to states like AZ, NC, FL, CO, or WI to work on Senate races where he's not going to play well, he pretty much just has to say "okay, do whatever you want." He practically has no control.



Just saw this lol. You think there's something wrong with this methodology or sample? The breakdown's well within line of the national electorate. The 2012 exit was 38D-32R-29I, this looks like what you'd expect the country to look like after GOP base voters have had 4 additional years to hide under the "Independent" label. They've been doing it for a decade, Trump supporters and otherwise clueless Republicans simply weren't aware of it before they started whining about the poll because they don't know anything about elections haha.

No1 care about numbers 4 years ago. Heres some more up-to-date info:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

Maybe using stale data is why your little shop flopped on the 2014 midturns and blamed it something else - a common "consultant" cop-out.

Obligatory: keep spinning spinstress.

This post was edited by excellence on Jun 28 2016 05:25pm
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Jun 28 2016 06:28pm
Quote (excellence @ Jun 28 2016 04:25pm)
No1 care about numbers 4 years ago. Heres some more up-to-date info:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

Maybe using stale data is why your little shop flopped on the 2014 midturns and blamed it something else - a common "consultant" cop-out.

Obligatory: keep spinning spinstress.


There's something funny to me about the inherent cluelessness of your approach. This must be the 2016 version of "Unskewed Polls." And there's something really amusing about Trump's supporters having to shout "the polls that have him down double-digits suck, he's only really down by 6!"

My firm was very successful in 2014 not that it's relevant, so I'm not sure what to say to the rest of whatever that was you wrote. That's what happens when you're babbling out of your asshole.
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Jun 28 2016 06:55pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Jun 28 2016 02:14pm)
My four day suspension for calling Bazi names is done.

Your celebration is now over.



https://i.sli.mg/sHUUt8.jpg

https://i.sli.mg/B3NCAF.jpg

https://i.sli.mg/GfUOlH.png


trump girl = best girls
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Jun 28 2016 06:58pm
Quote (majorblood @ Jun 28 2016 06:55pm)
trump girl = best girls


shill
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Jun 28 2016 07:09pm
Quote (Pollster @ 28 Jun 2016 20:28)
There's something funny to me about the inherent cluelessness of your approach. This must be the 2016 version of "Unskewed Polls." And there's something really amusing about Trump's supporters having to shout "the polls that have him down double-digits suck, he's only really down by 6!"

My firm was very successful in 2014 not that it's relevant, so I'm not sure what to say to the rest of whatever that was you wrote. That's what happens when you're babbling out of your asshole.

Success despite failure - great business model.
Spit on Pew, then laugh when a poll taken - which has a 50% advantage for (D)ahead of (R) polled, and to top it off of (D) is ahead of (I) which isnt prevelant since your proclaimed exit poll - is in favor of Hillary by 12 points.

Youre clearly an informed and smart person - dont get your posting patterns, but we all have a job to do in the end.

This post was edited by excellence on Jun 28 2016 07:09pm
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Jun 28 2016 09:32pm


How will Hillary handle her losing demographics?
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