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Mar 7 2020 05:44pm
Quote (Ghot @ Mar 7 2020 11:59am)
Well, you have to admit, that 90% of the major port states are seriously Democratic.


Translation: Educated
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Mar 7 2020 05:44pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 7 Mar 2020 23:45)
So I've had this minor lingering bit of doubt in my mind for a few months now, ever since the first word of this Coronavirus stuff was out
early january I was flying through the west coast and spent a lot of time in the seattle airport around all kinds of chinese people. A few days later I came down with a really nasty virus, couldn't really place it because the symptoms were somewhere between cold and flu, but had a fever of 103+ at its worst which is way too much to be a cold. Didn't think much of it at the time, it was before any news of Coronavirus. But I got better in a week or so- it was a long sickness for whatever it was, at least one day completely out of action- and don't think anyone I spend much time with got any bad symptoms of being sick. I figured it was just some flu so I self-quarantined from my elderly family members and missed out on our usual dinners so I wouldn't be contagious.
Even once the coronavirus scare started I still figured then, and now, that the odds I got it still have to be < 1%, that this is what I get for not having a flu shot. And even if in that remote chance it was the big bad virus, I was fully recovered and no longer a carrier by the time it was in the news.

but that lingering doubt still remains in the back of my head. What's the earliest cases in Wuhan? I'd have to compare the timeline


cough & shortness of breath, because it's duplicating in lungs.

Quote (TrixR4Kidz187 @ 7 Mar 2020 23:04)
What if the wall was actually made to keep us in rather than immigrants out?🤔


:rofl: and the wall just got 10 feet higher !
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Mar 7 2020 05:57pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 7 2020 05:45pm)
So I've had this minor lingering bit of doubt in my mind for a few months now, ever since the first word of this Coronavirus stuff was out
early january I was flying through the west coast and spent a lot of time in the seattle airport around all kinds of chinese people. A few days later I came down with a really nasty virus, couldn't really place it because the symptoms were somewhere between cold and flu, but had a fever of 103+ at its worst which is way too much to be a cold. Didn't think much of it at the time, it was before any news of Coronavirus. But I got better in a week or so- it was a long sickness for whatever it was, at least one day completely out of action- and don't think anyone I spend much time with got any bad symptoms of being sick. I figured it was just some flu so I self-quarantined from my elderly family members and missed out on our usual dinners so I wouldn't be contagious.
Even once the coronavirus scare started I still figured then, and now, that the odds I got it still have to be < 1%, that this is what I get for not having a flu shot. And even if in that remote chance it was the big bad virus, I was fully recovered and no longer a carrier by the time it was in the news.

but that lingering doubt still remains in the back of my head. What's the earliest cases in Wuhan? I'd have to compare the timeline


You could have potentially been the first person, or atleast american to survive a global virus, thats pretty dope. :banana:
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Mar 7 2020 06:01pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 7 2020 02:45pm)
So I've had this minor lingering bit of doubt in my mind for a few months now, ever since the first word of this Coronavirus stuff was out
early january I was flying through the west coast and spent a lot of time in the seattle airport around all kinds of chinese people. A few days later I came down with a really nasty virus, couldn't really place it because the symptoms were somewhere between cold and flu, but had a fever of 103+ at its worst which is way too much to be a cold. Didn't think much of it at the time, it was before any news of Coronavirus. But I got better in a week or so- it was a long sickness for whatever it was, at least one day completely out of action- and don't think anyone I spend much time with got any bad symptoms of being sick. I figured it was just some flu so I self-quarantined from my elderly family members and missed out on our usual dinners so I wouldn't be contagious.
Even once the coronavirus scare started I still figured then, and now, that the odds I got it still have to be < 1%, that this is what I get for not having a flu shot. And even if in that remote chance it was the big bad virus, I was fully recovered and no longer a carrier by the time it was in the news.

but that lingering doubt still remains in the back of my head. What's the earliest cases in Wuhan? I'd have to compare the timeline


I'm in a similar situation but mine was in LA in mid February. It's quite likely that we got some sort of rhinovirus or flu but we'll never know.
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Mar 7 2020 06:08pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Mar 7 2020 05:45pm)
So I've had this minor lingering bit of doubt in my mind for a few months now, ever since the first word of this Coronavirus stuff was out
early january I was flying through the west coast and spent a lot of time in the seattle airport around all kinds of chinese people. A few days later I came down with a really nasty virus, couldn't really place it because the symptoms were somewhere between cold and flu, but had a fever of 103+ at its worst which is way too much to be a cold. Didn't think much of it at the time, it was before any news of Coronavirus. But I got better in a week or so- it was a long sickness for whatever it was, at least one day completely out of action- and don't think anyone I spend much time with got any bad symptoms of being sick. I figured it was just some flu so I self-quarantined from my elderly family members and missed out on our usual dinners so I wouldn't be contagious.
Even once the coronavirus scare started I still figured then, and now, that the odds I got it still have to be < 1%, that this is what I get for not having a flu shot. And even if in that remote chance it was the big bad virus, I was fully recovered and no longer a carrier by the time it was in the news.

but that lingering doubt still remains in the back of my head. What's the earliest cases in Wuhan? I'd have to compare the timeline




Oh noes! Anyone who quotes you on JSP is gonna catch it.



/e Oh noes !!! :lol:







This post was edited by Ghot on Mar 7 2020 06:10pm
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Mar 7 2020 06:22pm
Quote (Ghot @ Mar 7 2020 10:49am)
My comparison is for comparing medical systems. Aka free and not free. The medical systems have nothing to do with "contracting" the disease.
The percentages of deaths on the other hand, are indicative of the quality of the medical systems in place.


/e Whether or not people in each country "contract" the CV, is more indicative of travel, quaratine and border policies.


Let's try this one more time.

Comparing raw deaths to raw population isn't useful. As you said, you aren't trying to compare the rate of contraction, you're trying to compare the death rate. Because the better medical system would have a higher rate of people surviving the virus, and the worse would have a lower rate of survival.

But here's the catch: you can't die from the virus unless you catch it first. So you need to compare the number of people who have died from the coronavirus against the number of people who caught it (or compare the number who survived vs the number who caught it--same metric). That will show you the survival rate (or the fatality rate), which would be a useful metric for comparing the healthcare systems.

But you didn't do that. Because you used raw deaths vs raw population. So the metric you first suggested doesn't really mean anything with respect to the healthcare systems. Unless you're concerned with the rate the disease spreads, but as you said before, you aren't concerned with the rate of contraction.

So you need to do (# fatalities)/(# total cases in nation) to get a meaningful number.

Does that help your understanding?
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Mar 7 2020 06:37pm
Quote (Testiclese @ Mar 7 2020 07:22pm)
But here's the catch: you can't die from the virusunless you catch it first.


This is true, obviously. However, it doesn't preclude me from my deaths/population argument. Perhaps I'm making a different argument than you are assuming I'm making.



I'm arguing the claim by Saucy in post #443... and other similar sentiments by Saucy in this thread. I am disagreeing with Saucy's point that the virus will spread faster in the US.
Saucy has been bashing the US ever since the first reported case.

My rebuttal was.... the US is responding better than France. <---- which is where deaths/population comes in.



You on the other hand, are arguing death/infection. <---- this would not help me rebut Saucy's point.

/e If I was arguing quality of US doctors vs. French doctors, then death/infection would be useful.

This post was edited by Ghot on Mar 7 2020 06:44pm
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Mar 7 2020 06:40pm
Quote (Ghot @ Mar 7 2020 04:37pm)
This is true, obviously. However, it doesn't preclude me from my deaths/population. Perhaps I'm making a different argument than you are assuming I'm making.



I'm arguing the claim by Saucy in post #443... and other similar sentiments by Saucy in this thread. I am disagreeing with Saucy's point that the virus will spread faster in the US.
Saucy has been bashing the US ever since the first reported case.

My rebuttal was.... the US is responding better than France. <---- which is where deaths/population comes in.



You on the other hand, are arguing death/infection. <---- this would not help me rebut Saucy's point.


This is the dumbest fucking argument I have ever seen. You should be ashamed of yourself.
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Mar 7 2020 06:56pm
Quote (thundercock @ Mar 7 2020 04:40pm)
This is the dumbest fucking argument I have ever seen. You should be ashamed of yourself.


I dont even know how he can attempt this debate as the US has done nothing but block travel
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Mar 7 2020 07:01pm
Quote (theCrossbones @ Mar 7 2020 04:56pm)
I dont even know how he can attempt this debate as the US has done nothing but block travel


France has twice as many infections as the US (they are right next to Italy so that makes sense) and roughly the same amount of people have died. That means the French are twice as good at treating patients as America is. If I were an elderly person, I would NOT want to be in this country because we have shit healthcare for the average person.

IMO, South Korea has done a remarkable job treating its population. 7000 cases and less than 50 deaths. If South Korea's healthcare was as bad as America's, over 300 people would be dead.
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