Quote (ofthevoid @ Jan 8 2020 11:06am)
Cool hypothesis, except he just spoke and was dovish announcing no more military action, and stock market goes heavy in the green.
Like i said his number one concern is the economy, he's not going to destroy the success of his number 1 issue which pretty much everyone agrees will give him best hope to get reelected for a conflict 8 months away from election who everyone will most likely forget assuming no escalation.
Trump is a paradox of needs. He needs a strong economy, and he needs to look strong on the world stage, while also needing to maintain the anti-interventionism label, while also needing to get reelected.
In general he's not in much danger for re-election, especially with the chaotic democratic field.
I was just speaking in generalities while also meme'ing a bit. Per Trump, if you're worried about re-election you can stoke war. His words.
Now obvious loaded into the "Only way Obama can get re-elected...." statement is the 2011 economy, slowly recovering from the 2008 market crashes. Still the general principal applies, even if it's mitigated by a strong economy. No one wants to switch horses midstream.