Quote (ofthevoid @ 22 Apr 2021 02:52)
If we push Turkey into Russia's arm then that's really bad. We've already done this to some extent and Turkey already decided that they won't let the US dictate policy when they bought the S-400s from Russia.
Maybe I'm wrong but I see certain similarities between our relationship with Turkey with what happened in Iran decades ago. It feels like it might be heading that way which is not a net good for us in the region.
Turkey and Russia have been fierce rivals for literally hundreds of years. Their size and military as well as economic might is of a comparable magnitude, comparable enough that neither of them will accept a subordinate role to the other. Turkey will neither become Russia's best friend, nor will it become Russia's lapdog.
The situation in Turkey also cannot be compared to that in Iran. Back during the 50s, Iran was one of the most modern and democratic countries of the islamic world. When a left-leaning PM wanted to use the country's oil revenues for his own people instead of selling them off cheap, he was overthrown in a coup organized by the CIA and the MI6 and replaced by an unpopular puppet regime, which was in turn overthrown by the Islamic revolution which transformed the country into a theocracy right off the bat.
By contrast, Turkey never had big natural resources and started out as a secular de-facto military dictatorship which was aligned with the West. During the 90s and 2000s, the religious conservatives led by Erdogan and his AKP took over as a result of a long series of democratic elections. They were initially quite moderate and conducted several effective reforms, resulting in a high popularity. It was only in the late 2000s and early 2010s that Erdogan's power eroded and he became increasingly authoritarian and despotic.
So the islamist encroachment happened gradually and organically in Turkey, while it happened aburptly and as a result of massive foreign meddling in the case of Iran. The current political situation in Turkey is largely the result of choices the Turkish people made out of its own volition, while a direct causality chain can be drawn between corrupt actions of the West in Iran and the country's present, fucked up situation.
This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Apr 22 2021 12:12am