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Nov 10 2020 03:52pm
Quote (Jere @ 10 Nov 2020 16:48)
haha.



it is funny but on a serious note i value consistency. if chaos is the standard then okay fine but demanding a reversion to the mean when that hasnt been up for discussion for years is disingenuous

This post was edited by excellence on Nov 10 2020 03:52pm
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Nov 10 2020 03:55pm
Quote (IceMage @ Nov 10 2020 03:38pm)
https://twitter.com/JenGriffinFNC/status/1326258800777682945

Trump firing top guys at Defense to replace them with completely lackeys, in the midst of denying the results of the election. Not exactly a comforting headline.


No real good reason to clear house as a lame duck is there? Maybe there's ample precedent
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Nov 10 2020 03:58pm
Quote (excellence @ Nov 10 2020 03:48pm)
didnt the Democrats impeach Trump over ‘sworn statements’ and hearsay?


I was never a cheerleader for the impeachment proceedings. The biggest beef I had with the whole process was McConnell (as the de facto jury foreman) pledging to coordinate closely with the defense (Trump's team). It was a dog and pony show from the get go.
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Nov 10 2020 03:59pm
Quote (Surfpunk @ 10 Nov 2020 15:51)
Which states? Because what I'm finding for states that report party registration information, is a strong trend toward Democrats requesting mail-in ballots, and in some states, by a significant margin (PA is 62% D, 26% R, for example). AZ does trend the other direction, but that's also why most sites either didn't call AZ, or thought it was too early to do so (538 comes to mind). Because of the higher R rate of ballot requests.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html


Check out GA, MA, and Nevada then look at mail-in voting rejection rate vs previous years... How is it lower if we have more mail-in this year more than ever....

Damnit why did you give me this link lol... Just another statistical anomaly nothing to see here

Quote
750,000 mail-in ballots were rejected in 2016 and 2018. Here's why that matters.


Statewide more ballots in previous elections with significantly less mail-in voting rejected than 2020.

This post was edited by Jere on Nov 10 2020 04:02pm
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Nov 10 2020 04:01pm
Quote (thesnipa @ Nov 10 2020 03:55pm)
No real good reason to clear house as a lame duck is there? Maybe there's ample precedent


Probably a rage firing. From what I've seen it looks like Esper was delaying moving more troops out of Afghanistan. Trump can pin some blame on him since that would be a great story for him.
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Nov 10 2020 04:02pm
Quote (Jere @ Nov 10 2020 03:59pm)
Check out GA, MA, and Nevada then look at mail-in voting rejection rate vs previous years... How is it lower if we have more mail-in this year more than ever....

Damnit why did you give me this link lol... Just another statistical anomaly nothing to see here


More mail-in ballots means the information on how to correctly fill them out is more widely disseminated, and let's be honest poll workers are humans too. If they have way more ballots than usual they're just going to want to get it done so they can go home so standards are going to fall.
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Nov 10 2020 04:03pm
Quote (Jere @ Nov 10 2020 03:59pm)
Check out GA, MA, and Nevada then look at mail-in voting rejection rate vs previous years... How is it lower if we have more mail-in this year more than ever....

Damnit why did you give me this link lol... Just another statistical anomaly nothing to see here


Yeah, GA and MA don't report party affiliation, and NV doesn't report mail rejection, although return rate was 42% D, 26% R for mail ballots.

The NV SoS site linked on their page on the github.io site reports a total of 8000+ ballots that required signature curing (5300+ were successfully cured), and a total of 206 mail ballots that were rejected. Their 2016 data doesn't report rejected ballots, that I can see.

This post was edited by Surfpunk on Nov 10 2020 04:09pm
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Nov 10 2020 04:03pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 10 Nov 2020 16:02)
More mail-in ballots means the information on how to correctly fill them out is more widely disseminated, and let's be honest poll workers are humans too. If they have way more ballots than usual they're just going to want to get it done so they can go home so standards are going to fall.


Now you're making excused for election fraud. Figures it gets to obvious to deny so it was a accident, just like all the glitches being found and now rolling votes back...

It's suspect af.
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Nov 10 2020 04:05pm
Quote (Jere @ Nov 10 2020 03:59pm)
Check out GA, MA, and Nevada then look at mail-in voting rejection rate vs previous years... How is it lower if we have more mail-in this year more than ever....

Damnit why did you give me this link lol... Just another statistical anomaly nothing to see here



Statewide more ballots in previous elections with significantly less mail-in voting rejected than 2020.


If volume increases, it wouldn't surprise me that rejection rate drops given the saturation. Rejection count should be higher , not necessarily rate or percent.
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Nov 10 2020 04:06pm
Quote (Surfpunk @ 10 Nov 2020 16:58)
I was never a cheerleader for the impeachment proceedings. The biggest beef I had with the whole process was McConnell (as the de facto jury foreman) pledging to coordinate closely with the defense (Trump's team). It was a dog and pony show from the get go.

the Democrats coalesced around Clinton so the Republicans did around Trump.

impeachment is partisan bullshit anyway. i was a kid then but once I was old enough i thought Clinton’s impeaching was BS too. Same with Trump being impeached over nothing.

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