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Feb 8 2021 03:54pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Feb 8 2021 03:22pm)
While you make an excellent point, it's not a particularly useful one, given nuclear power plants don't power shuttles.

The challenge has very little to do with the energy efficiency of nuclear power, and a lot more to do with how to get to the moon utilizing something more efficient than rocket fuel.


The odds of our trash ever reaching another planet before the end of the universe is so small that writing it out would probably take up all the hard drives d2jsp owns just to write the zeros. (0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.....1%)

It's a ridiculously small chance.

Quote (Knoppie @ Feb 8 2021 03:46pm)
^^

1/2 * 1kg * 8000m/s² (dV needed to get to Low earth orbit) = 32.000.000 J

That's almost half of it.

And then comes the trip to the moon ;)

/e ok


See my above post. Truly insignificant compared to the energy output of 1kg of nuclear fuel.
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Feb 8 2021 03:59pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 8 2021 10:54pm)
The odds of our trash ever reaching another planet before the end of the universe is so small that writing it out would probably take up all the hard drives d2jsp owns just to write the zeros. (0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.....1%)

It's a ridiculously small chance.



See my above post. Truly insignificant compared to the energy output of 1kg of nuclear fuel.


Ow it already is in Mega Joule. Fair enough, if most of that energy can be used than it's possible.... Technically ^

This post was edited by Knoppie on Feb 8 2021 04:01pm
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Feb 8 2021 04:00pm
Quote (remco6 @ Feb 8 2021 11:35am)
What do you figure the temperature is in those photos?
Is cycling in -30 to 40 C reasonable in your opinion?


Yeah its fine. People use fat bikes at those temps. Very common above the 60th parallel.
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Feb 8 2021 04:01pm
Quote (Knoppie @ Feb 8 2021 03:59pm)
Ow it already is in Mega Joule. Fair enough, if most of that energy can be used than it's possible.


Doesn't even need "most". We could cut it down by a factor of 100 and it would still only take 8% of the usable energy.
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Feb 8 2021 04:04pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 8 Feb 2021 13:54)
The odds of our trash ever reaching another planet before the end of the universe is so small that writing it out would probably take up all the hard drives d2jsp owns just to write the zeros. (0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000.....1%)

It's a ridiculously small chance.


I don't know what "the end of the universe" means. There are an estimated 125 Billion galaxies, each containing in excess of 100 billion solar systems, each containing planets that have a gravitational pull.

It's more likely than not that the waste WOULD eventually hit a planet, sun, moon, asteroid, or comet. The only question is, would it be harmful to whatever it hit, or would it simply burn up in whatever atmosphere (if applicable), would it poison that atmosphere when it burned up, etc. etc.

I'm more just against the idea that the solution to littering is just to change where you litter. :P
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Feb 8 2021 04:12pm
Quote (Black XistenZ @ Feb 8 2021 03:27pm)
Misleading. First, the amount of nuclear waste produced in nuclear power plants exceeds the self-weight of the raw uranium which is used in the process by a substantial factor. Second, you're not gonna put nuclear waste in a cardbox and put it on a space shuttle. It has to be transported in extremely dense and heavy containers which look like this:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/71/Castorbeh%C3%A4lter-regi.jpg/800px-Castorbeh%C3%A4lter-regi.jpg

According to the German wiki, these containers for nuclear waste have a weight of around 125 metric tons and can hold around 180 kg of nuclear waste, so that's a ratio of 1:700 right there for a start. If you dont want to contaminate the launching ramp, you need a container of roughly this weight class. Launching this kind of weight into orbit will cost a huge amount of energy.

I mean, come on, think about it critically: some of the brightest scientists in the world have been racking their brains for decades to find a permanent solution for nuclear waste - do you seriously believe that none of them ever thought about the idea of just launching it into space?


Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 8 2021 03:53pm)
According to google 1 kg of uranium makes 24 million kWh of power at a nuclear plant.

Converted to joules that's 8.64 x 10^13 J, or 8.64 x10^7 MJ

Sending something to space takes 109 MJ/KG, so we want 700KG so 76300 MJ. So we've got a wasted energy content of 0.08% of the total energy.

Even if my numbers are off, I've got a factor of over 1000 to make up for it.

It's not really the energy content that's the problem, as much as it's just the practical aspects of sending things to space.


We should just send all of the nuclear waste to Sudan and Ethiopia. Fuck 'em.
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Feb 8 2021 04:21pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Feb 8 2021 04:04pm)
I don't know what "the end of the universe" means. There are an estimated 125 Billion galaxies, each containing in excess of 100 billion solar systems, each containing planets that have a gravitational pull.

It's more likely than not that the waste WOULD eventually hit a planet, sun, moon, asteroid, or comet. The only question is, would it be harmful to whatever it hit, or would it simply burn up in whatever atmosphere (if applicable), would it poison that atmosphere when it burned up, etc. etc.

I'm more just against the idea that the solution to littering is just to change where you litter. :P


Do some research on the immense distances between galaxies, then compare it to the speed of a space object we send up.

The distance to our next nearest star (in the same galaxy!) is 4.37 light years, or 4.13x10^ 13 km. Going at 100 km/s (about 5 times faster than Voyager 1) it would take 314,000 years to get there. Going to the next nearest galaxy would take 7.6 billion years.

Needless to say, by the time we ever have interaction with that trash again it would have decimated the life on whatever other planet it landed on, caused a mass extinction, then the life would have grown back, and had several thousand more mass extinctions before we could even dream of interacting with it again.
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Feb 8 2021 04:27pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 8 Feb 2021 14:21)
Do some research on the immense distances between galaxies, then compare it to the speed of a space object we send up.

The distance to our next nearest star (in the same galaxy!) is 4.37 light years, or 4.13x10^ 13 km. Going at 100 km/s (about 5 times faster than Voyager 1) it would take 314,000 years to get there. Going to the next nearest galaxy would take 7.6 billion years.

Needless to say, by the time we ever have interaction with that trash again it would have decimated the life on whatever other planet it landed on, caused a mass extinction, then the life would have grown back, and had several thousand more mass extinctions before we could even dream of interacting with it again.


Where did I indicate "we" would ever have interaction with that trash again? Why are you attempting to excuse irresponsible littering that may have a negative impact on other life? Isn't that the basic excuse for why "Nah, just litter, somebody else'll take care of it" is a justifiable position?

It truly doesn't matter how much time it would take for the trash to hit something. Randomly launching trash into space is simply irresponsible. Imagine if some other society somewhere else in the Universe did the same thing 20 million years ago, and their trash randomly impacted with us tomorrow and turned our atmosphere toxic. Would that be okay?
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Feb 8 2021 04:55pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Feb 8 2021 04:27pm)
Where did I indicate "we" would ever have interaction with that trash again? Why are you attempting to excuse irresponsible littering that may have a negative impact on other life? Isn't that the basic excuse for why "Nah, just litter, somebody else'll take care of it" is a justifiable position?

It truly doesn't matter how much time it would take for the trash to hit something. Randomly launching trash into space is simply irresponsible. Imagine if some other society somewhere else in the Universe did the same thing 20 million years ago, and their trash randomly impacted with us tomorrow and turned our atmosphere toxic. Would that be okay?


Oh, I assumed you could do the math on likelihood to hit something by yourself. Go ahead and take the volume on our galaxy and then divide it by the number of stars in that Galaxy. This is going to be another number that would require dozens of zeros to express how tiny it is. That's basically the odds that our trash ever hits anything. The odds of any planet ever interacting with our trash is so unfathomably tiny that it's not even worth considering, then you consider the absolutely enormous timescales we are working with and it becomes even less of a concern for us or any other life

This post was edited by Thor123422 on Feb 8 2021 04:56pm
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Feb 8 2021 05:11pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 8 Feb 2021 14:55)
Oh, I assumed you could do the math on likelihood to hit something by yourself. Go ahead and take the volume on our galaxy and then divide it by the number of stars in that Galaxy. This is going to be another number that would require dozens of zeros to express how tiny it is. That's basically the odds that our trash ever hits anything. The odds of any planet ever interacting with our trash is so unfathomably tiny that it's not even worth considering, then you consider the absolutely enormous timescales we are working with and it becomes even less of a concern for us or any other life


You are attempting to excuse irresponsible littering because "it won't have an impact until later, if it does at all." This is the same excuse people make when they throw their beer cans and the plastic pack rings into the river they're fishing in. It's the same excuse people use when tossing tires on the side of the road, or pouring their used motor oil or coolant down a storm drain.

You simply don't care because it'll have no direct impact on YOU. All of your pretense about caring about anything outside of yourself is simply that, pretense. It doesn't matter that our "space trash" could at some point cause massive harm to another civilization, and the odds that at some point it WILL impact SOMETHING are so close to 100% as to be almost certain doesn't bother you in the slightest.

I don't care if it happens tomorrow or in 200 trillion years. I'm not religious. I've seen no evidence that the Universe will ever "end". I've never even seen anyone make a meaningful case of such an event occurring. Most scientists agree that far from "ending" the Universe is still in it's early stages and is actively expanding.
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