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Feb 6 2021 12:47pm
Trump's presidency summary in 6 seconds

https://i.imgur.com/41h2Tp9.mp4
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Feb 6 2021 01:53pm
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Feb 7 2021 11:27am
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Feb 7 2021 11:55am
Quote (EndlessSky @ Feb 7 2021 11:27am)


Nuclear is very good for baseline, and very efficient. Ideally we would be running nuclear to provide baseline and solar to provide the increase during the day, with excess solar being deployed and stored to bring the cost down to essentially zero and facilitate things like carbon recapture.
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Feb 7 2021 12:08pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 7 2021 12:55pm)
Nuclear is very good for baseline, and very efficient. Ideally we would be running nuclear to provide baseline and solar to provide the increase during the day, with excess solar being deployed and stored to bring the cost down to essentially zero and facilitate things like carbon recapture.


The only places that would be monetarily efficient for solar are Arizona, Texas, and So Cal imho
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Feb 7 2021 12:18pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Feb 7 2021 12:08pm)
The only places that would be monetarily efficient for solar are Arizona, Texas, and So Cal imho


Solar is super efficient at this point. You don't need direct sunlight to get most of the benefit of solar panels, and you actually don't want them to overheat and lose efficiency anyway, so they aren't as appropriate for those hot dry places as you think. They could power the average house with power to spare on a cloudy day using just the roof space 10 years ago. They're significantly more efficient now, so they're appropriate for pretty much everywhere.
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Feb 7 2021 12:19pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ Feb 7 2021 01:18pm)
Solar is super efficient at this point. You don't need direct sunlight to get most of the benefit of solar panels, and you actually don't want them to overheat and lose efficiency anyway, so they aren't as appropriate for those hot dry places as you think. They could power the average house with power to spare on a cloudy day using just the roof space 10 years ago. They're significantly more efficient now, so they're appropriate for pretty much everywhere.


I have 10 inches of snow in my area currently.

I dont think solar is efficient if you have to use door to door scammers to actually sell them even after billions in government subsidy.
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Feb 7 2021 12:35pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ Feb 7 2021 07:19pm)
I have 10 inches of snow in my area currently.

I dont think solar is efficient if you have to use door to door scammers to actually sell them even after billions in government subsidy.


Specifically the Netherlands doesn't have a lot of elevation to utilize hydro electric storage, in the form of lakes and dams. All other storage systems for electricity are rather expensive to overlap a month of snow or even rainy weeks in the winter.. Here the most spoken about alternative are hydrogen factorie$.

That basically means for us, that if we go full solar/wind excluding other sources, it would be more expensive than going full nuclear..

But we don't have to deal with absolutes. A mix between the two, is better. As solar/wind to supplement a base load has become insanely cheap.

This post was edited by Knoppie on Feb 7 2021 12:43pm
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Feb 7 2021 01:09pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ 7 Feb 2021 10:18)
Solar is super efficient at this point. You don't need direct sunlight to get most of the benefit of solar panels, and you actually don't want them to overheat and lose efficiency anyway, so they aren't as appropriate for those hot dry places as you think. They could power the average house with power to spare on a cloudy day using just the roof space 10 years ago. They're significantly more efficient now, so they're appropriate for pretty much everywhere.


To put "efficient" in perspective: Solar panels are not "super efficient". The average panel runs roughly 18-20% efficiency. A single cell can be pretty high efficiency, but not a panel. Second, more light is better. Even the best panels aren't providing as much efficiency during clouds or rain as they are in direct clear sunlight. Heat's less of a concern than you might think. Panels are just fine in Arizona on 122F days. The problem is less the heat generation, and more the installation costs to make it safe.

At any rate, here's where solar efficiency tends to screw you: You want to go off the grid. Don't lie, you do. Not the internet grid, but the power grid. You're "green" and "self-sustaining!" The average price of a solar roof + a solar wall (battery setup) that'll not only provide enough continuous output to power a full home without being connected to the grid, AND store enough power for overnight usage of... Whatever you want, everything if need be is... Between the wiring and installation of not only the solar wall and roof, in excess of $100K for a smaller home, and much higher potentially as the size of home grows larger.

Now, $100K isn't so bad when you're thinking of buying a home that costs say $400K. Make it 500K, go green! It does sound nice. But both the wall panels (again, these are batteries) AND the roof panels (power generation) have a peak lifespan of about 25 years. You will not "save" much on reinstallation cost. Some of the framing and such, initial wiring and fuse box stuff, service off switch, shit like that, sure. But realistically, the price will still likely run near six figures for the replacements. So, let's go low end, $100K/25 years/12 months=$333.34/month average cost of your "going green" solar setup which will give you 24/7 power. On the low end. Power costs on average for household in Arizona average ~$128/month from the grid.

Now, the "off the grid" setup is controlled through the powerwall setup, and if you're not part of the grid, it shuts off the panels when battery storage is [near] full. If however, you're [sort of] hooked up to the grid, in order to sell power to the grid, then the powerwall setup would automagically switch you to the net meter output, rather than battery output for the panels. How much'll you make? Well... Being on the grid, you're going to have a monthly charge just for being on the grid, so that'll reduce it. But, without clean energy incentives from the government, and in Phoenix? Maybe $50/month could potentially be reasonable. With Incentives from the government? $200, potentially.

End result? When it comes to financial efficiency, it's simply not efficient at all. By the time it's all said and done, you spend a huge amount of money, and the best you can expect is to MAYBE reach a net zero on cost (paying out equal to what simply using the grid would cost you). Meanwhile, every 25 years, the batteries and panels have to be replaced, and the batteries and panels have no way to be recycled or "safely" disposed of. They utilize heavy metal and are extremely toxic. Selling back to the grid can make up part of the cost though, and for environmental efficiency, since the grid pays you a lower price than you'd have to pay them, there's a fair chance that in actual power generated and contributed to the grid, you may end up not only being "green" but producing enough power for multiple homes besides your own. The offset, again, being the extreme environmental hazard that defunct solar panels and batteries become.

In many ways, I think Solar (as it is today) is merely tossing off the environmental disaster to the next generation, much as coal is considered to be today's "disaster" from previous generations.

This post was edited by InsaneBobb on Feb 7 2021 01:13pm
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Feb 7 2021 01:20pm
Quote (InsaneBobb @ Feb 8 2021 08:09am)
To put "efficient" in perspective: Solar panels are not "super efficient". The average panel runs roughly 18-20% efficiency. A single cell can be pretty high efficiency, but not a panel. Second, more light is better. Even the best panels aren't providing as much efficiency during clouds or rain as they are in direct clear sunlight. Heat's less of a concern than you might think. Panels are just fine in Arizona on 122F days. The problem is less the heat generation, and more the installation costs to make it safe.

At any rate, here's where solar efficiency tends to screw you: You want to go off the grid. Don't lie, you do. Not the internet grid, but the power grid. You're "green" and "self-sustaining!" The average price of a solar roof + a solar wall (battery setup) that'll not only provide enough continuous output to power a full home without being connected to the grid, AND store enough power for overnight usage of... Whatever you want, everything if need be is... Between the wiring and installation of not only the solar wall and roof, in excess of $100K for a smaller home, and much higher potentially as the size of home grows larger.

Now, $100K isn't so bad when you're thinking of buying a home that costs say $400K. Make it 500K, go green! It does sound nice. But both the wall panels (again, these are batteries) AND the roof panels (power generation) have a peak lifespan of about 25 years. You will not "save" much on reinstallation cost. Some of the framing and such, initial wiring and fuse box stuff, service off switch, shit like that, sure. But realistically, the price will still likely run near six figures for the replacements. So, let's go low end, $100K/25 years/12 months=$333.34/month average cost of your "going green" solar setup which will give you 24/7 power. On the low end. Power costs on average for household in Arizona average ~$128/month from the grid.

Now, the "off the grid" setup is controlled through the powerwall setup, and if you're not part of the grid, it shuts off the panels when battery storage is [near] full. If however, you're [sort of] hooked up to the grid, in order to sell power to the grid, then the powerwall setup would automagically switch you to the net meter output, rather than battery output for the panels. How much'll you make? Well... Being on the grid, you're going to have a monthly charge just for being on the grid, so that'll reduce it. But, without clean energy incentives from the government, and in Phoenix? Maybe $50/month could potentially be reasonable. With Incentives from the government? $200, potentially.

End result? When it comes to financial efficiency, it's simply not efficient at all. By the time it's all said and done, you spend a huge amount of money, and the best you can expect is to MAYBE reach a net zero on cost. Meanwhile, every 25 years, the batteries and panels have to be replaced, and the batteries and panels have no way to be recycled or "safely" disposed of. They utilize heavy metal and are extremely toxic. Selling back to the grid can make up part of the cost though, and for environmental efficiency, since the grid pays you a lower price than you'd have to pay them, there's a fair chance that in actual power generated and contributed to the grid, you may end up not only being "green" but producing enough power for multiple homes besides your own. The offset, again, being the extreme environmental hazard that defunct solar panels and batteries become.

In many ways, I think Solar (as it is today) is merely tossing off the environmental disaster to the next generation, much as coal is considered to be today.


People also overload the batteries and quite often reduce their lifetime by 10-50% I would say. It's a pain in the ass to always be juggling sunlight with how much power you want to be using. Sure some some places closer to the equator they begin to be more efficient and not a bad idea for people living more remote places but you are not doing yourself any favours. Maybe in near future when the batteries are developed to be less expensive, environmentally less toxic, and or much greater life expectancy then today's then i would consider solar a good alternative.

I don't like nuclear but I've accepted that it's a necessary evil.

Small hydro I like as its reliable and cheap

Tidal and geothermal looks promising I particularly love looking at all the creative power alternatives from third world

This post was edited by addone on Feb 7 2021 01:27pm
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