Quote (thundercock @ 11 Nov 2020 03:34)
Your side said that 2016 was an electoral landslide for Trump. I'm sure you can cherry pick stats to back up whatever claim you want but Biden's popular vote margin is likely to be 5%+. Biden not only recreated the Blue Wall but he also picked up AZ and GA.
Some on "my" side did that, but not me. I never claimed that Trump's win in 2016 was anything but really close. The fact that he never really had a noteworthy mandate is part of the reason why his original agenda didnt gain traction. Had he won the popular vote by 9% and gotten to 400+ in the EC, the wall would have been completed before 2018 and Congress would have given him full support for his trade wars...
I am not cherrypicking stats when I point out that Biden's win in the electoral college rests on shaky ground. He won most of the really tight contests this time around. Like I said in the other thread: in the end, there were only around 44k votes standing between president Biden and a second Trump term. In 2016, the number of votes standing between president Hillary and president Trump in the same sense stood at almost double that, 80k.
The popular vote is not super meaningful. Yes, we get it, Commiefornia absolutely loathes Trump.
The Blue Wall was called by this moniker because these three states had gone blue for decades without interruption. Biden winning WI by tiny margins of 0.5% and PA by 0.8% or so does not really mean that he rebuilt the Blue
Wall, particularly when we keep in mind the fact that this was a D+5 year nationally. In fact, both states continued to trend more Republican this year, they were R+2.8 states in 2016 and R+4 or R+4.5 states in 2020. It's just that the more lopsided overall environment (compared with 2016) was enough to bring them home for Biden. Going forward, Democrats obviously cannot rely on having a D+5 environment in every cycle.