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Oct 6 2020 11:22am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Oct 6 2020 12:05pm)
His take/messaging probably has some effect on how people perceive this but I think it's severely amplified by people wanting to hold someone accountable, and that someone conveniently is the incumbent opposition president in an election year.

Do you think people in NYC, the epicenter of Covid in the US, didn't wear masks, didn't social distance because Trump downplayed it? You really think a city that's overwhelmingly democrat and hates Trump listened to his take?

Reality is most people were and and are careless and downplayed it, me included. Most of us have a very cavalier attitude about life with thoughts like 'it could never happen to me' and I wouldn't really say it's unique to Americans.


the reality of densely populated urban areas having an unavoidable track to covid disasters doesnt change that far less densely populated areas could have severely mitigated the outbreaks they have had and are having now.

if anything the severe outbreaks should have been a wake up call, but they werent. in rural areas like mine we got a huge head start, we knew it was coming, and still did nothing. just got back from kwik trip, i counted 4 masks and 12 people without them. and we're in one of the worst areas in the country for increasing cases by percent. maybe there is no wake up call until its too late. im torn between optimistically hoping humans arent this dumb and pessimistically knowing they are.
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Oct 6 2020 11:27am
Quote (thesnipa @ Oct 6 2020 01:22pm)
the reality of densely populated urban areas having an unavoidable track to covid disasters doesnt change that far less densely populated areas could have severely mitigated the outbreaks they have had and are having now.

if anything the severe outbreaks should have been a wake up call, but they werent. in rural areas like mine we got a huge head start, we knew it was coming, and still did nothing. just got back from kwik trip, i counted 4 masks and 12 people without them. and we're in one of the worst areas in the country for increasing cases by percent. maybe there is no wake up call until its too late. im torn between optimistically hoping humans arent this dumb and pessimistically knowing they are.


Not about dumb vs smart imo, more about apathy and thinking you will somehow be different. In a way, it's like the drunk driver. He isn't drunk driving because he's dumb, he drunk drives because he's confident in his abilities or he hasn't been personally negatively affected by a drunk driver in his life so he's careless.
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Oct 6 2020 11:27am
Quote (Bazi @ Oct 6 2020 12:55pm)
The argument that masks don’t stop 100% of the spread so we shouldn’t fixate one this point cuz it’s not worth individual freedom... I will never understand. Nothing is ever this black and white. Mitigations help prevent disease, prevent spread, and as a secondary effect, allow businesses to stay open. Simple as this.

Those comparing outbreaks in Eu/Asia. Really too soon to make any claims about this. I would bet large sums of money these nations will have shorter peaks on both their horizontal and vertical axis. Additionally I would also bet that their respective economies will take a less of a hit due to hastily getting said infections under control. Getting your plateau to reasonable numbers ensures future inevitable outbreaks remain controllable. US is unique in being a first world country set for a horrible spike to come. Masks now will prevent some of the pain, but really I don’t think anything will stop the upcoming surge.

Just like excess deaths as a means to measure actual covid related deaths. It will be interesting to know what excess medical bankruptcy is by the end of this year. We are already >100x every other country in the world COMBINED on this metric. Will see what this ends up being by the end of this year I suppose.



Why didnt we wear masks for the common cold then?
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Oct 6 2020 11:30am
Quote (EndlessSky @ Oct 6 2020 12:27pm)
Why didnt we wear masks for the common cold then?


The cold / flu don't usually have a contagious period before you show symptoms.

If you're showing symptoms you absolutely should wear a mask.
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Oct 6 2020 11:31am
Quote (ofthevoid @ Oct 6 2020 12:27pm)
Not about dumb vs smart imo, more about apathy and thinking you will somehow be different. In a way, it's like the drunk driver. He isn't drunk driving because he's dumb, he drunk drives because he's confident in his abilities or he hasn't been personally negatively affected by a drunk driver in his life so he's careless.


its cognitive dissonance from known stats. we know how many die in drunk driving accidents, we know how terrible a DUI is to your record/income, etc.

just as we all know new york was devastated and population density isnt the whole story.

but that speaks to how bad misinformation is from the top level, be it potus or governor. because we have 99/100 stats/studies saying one thing and 1/100 elevated which counters it. "kids cant spread it or get symptoms", "masks arent effective at stopping spread", "99%+ of people are just fine", "summer should kill it with the heat", etc. People latch onto whatever false hope they can in times of crisis. Thats not a trend i want to pour gas on.

Quote (EndlessSky @ Oct 6 2020 12:27pm)
Why didnt we wear masks for the common cold then?


are you honestly still anti-mask wearing?

lmk address i'll mail u my clothes hamper.

This post was edited by thesnipa on Oct 6 2020 11:32am
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Oct 6 2020 11:33am
Quote (EndlessSky @ Oct 6 2020 12:27pm)
Why didnt we wear masks for the common cold then?


Does the common cold put you in the hospital
Does the common cold kill you
Does the common cold have an asymptomatic period of up to 7 days

Do you have a brain
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Oct 6 2020 11:37am
Quote (EndlessSky @ Oct 6 2020 01:27pm)
Why didnt we wear masks for the common cold then?


Quote (Thor123422 @ Oct 6 2020 01:30pm)
The cold / flu don't usually have a contagious period before you show symptoms.

If you're showing symptoms you absolutely should wear a mask.


It's a pretty dumb argument. Let's just assume he meant the flu.

"Hey, the flu sometimes kills tens of thousands a year, why didn't we have to wear masks then?!?".

First, COVID is a more significant virus. Second, there's risk mitigation(like getting a vaccine and older Americans wearing masks/social distancing) that doesn't happen in this country that maybe should in order to save thousands of lives.

In other words, your counter-argument for why we shouldn't care about hundreds of thousands dead in a year from a particular virus only shows how we need more mitigation, not less. It's an argument that's more damning for your side.
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Oct 6 2020 11:38am
Quote (Bazi @ Oct 6 2020 12:33pm)
Does the common cold put you in the hospital
Does the common cold kill you
Does the common cold have an asymptomatic period of up to 7 days

Do you have a brain


inb4 he answered 2 of the 3 questions with a made up stat.
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Oct 6 2020 11:39am
Quote (thesnipa @ Oct 6 2020 01:31pm)
are you honestly still anti-mask wearing?

lmk address i'll mail u my clothes hamper.


Trump cultists brains no longer function if a position might contradict the Dear Leader. If Hillary faced this virus and acted in the same way, none of them would be making these arguments.

Trump minimizes the virus, so they do. Trump minimizes mitigation efforts, so they do. It all comes back to the cult mindset.

This post was edited by IceMage on Oct 6 2020 11:41am
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Oct 6 2020 11:41am
Quote (Thor123422 @ 6 Oct 2020 18:57)
Contact tracing, testing, mask wearing, and social distancing can all be implemented without having an economy wide shutdown.

South Korea is the gold standard to this day, even when they have outbreaks they quickly get on top of it and as a result they haven't had to have a massive shutdown, despite having a much higher population density, greater proximity to the source, and being a comparably wealthy country to the United States and Europe.

If you do things right you don't have to shut down. Shutting down is the last-ditch-effort to stop the spread when you've fucked up.


Like I said, economy wide shutdowns are the option of last resort when all else has failed. There is still catastrophic economic damage even without such blanket shutdowns. Even in South Korea, bars and clubs are closed (they tried opening them, instantly lead to superspreading events, who would have thought...), mass gatherings are still severely limited, people are not in shopping mood, stores miss revenue etc. And of course their exports also collapsed, but this part could perhaps have been avoided if the whole world had done as well as SK.

Anyway, even all the European first world countries with competent governments who listened to the experts werent able to replicate what South Korea (and Japan and Vietnam btw) have done to contain the virus. Our western societies are probably just too individualistic and stupified. :lol:




Quote (thesnipa @ 6 Oct 2020 18:36)
i'd say that's a strawman, no one thinks it can truly be stopped. and if they do its trump voters who think a vaccine is a miracle drug that will destroy covid. the rhetoric from the start was "flatten the curve", not "eliminate all cases".


To be fair though, a lot of governments' messaging changed from "flatten the curve" to "we should do everything to bring cases down as far as humanly possible". But that's perhaps more an EU thing, in the US, Trump stuck by his yolo attitude all the way. (And it's gonna cost him his reelection, and deservedly so.)
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