Quote (Skinned @ 21 Jul 2016 18:25)
People will start to warm up to HRC after she curbstomps Trump in a few debates. He isn't going to be able to do the palsy-twitch and make a bunch of rednecks laugh, this is a national audience and smart people will be watching Donald this time.
But what about after she is potentially elected? New presidents often see an initial bump in their favorability, but she's probably going to be starting from a historically low place for a major party nominee.
Winning the election is one thing, being liked by America is another. I'm convinced Hillary is the strong favorite to win this election (she's facing Donald Trump), but is America going to like her enough to vote for again and if he opponent is more competent?
I'm just pointing out three main things: 1) Her approval and trustworthy ratings are pretty bad, and it's going to take a lot of good work to fix those. 2) Democrats who are further left on the spectrum will probably vote for her but that doesn't necessarily mean she will have a lot of their support, leaving just one group strongly in her corner (moderate Democrats). 3) I think there's a decent chance her presidency could involve some sort of scandal, whether is self-inflicted, baggage from before her presidency, or more or less generated by Republicans.
Oh and 4) Sexism. I think it's easier for Americans to hate on women leaders, and that goes for both parties. I could definitely see Hillary being hurt by her gender. She could do almost all of the same things that Obama does, except when Obama does it, he's an alpha and is confident, and when she does it, she's a bitch.
The question wasn't about whether she'd win this election, it was about her chances of being a two-term president, give she wins that one. My answer is that it is probably lower than most incumbents, but probably still greater than 50%. This is all assuming HRC wins, which I think she probably will. It's also just my guesswork. It mostly depends on how the country does during her 4 years as president. A lot of times, the fate of the economy (most important thing, besides major war) is out of a president's control.