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Jul 28 2022 03:18pm
Quote (Sioux @ Jul 28 2022 03:58pm)
Did we have a recession under Trump?


Yes, we had the start of a recession in the last year of Trump's presidency.
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Jul 28 2022 03:23pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 28 2022 02:14pm)


If we want to define recession as 2 quarters of negative GDP growth, we had a trump recession. There's a reason economists don't generally use that definition as there's always more nuance than a single number can tell you when it comes to the economy.

Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 28 2022 02:18pm)
Yes, we had the start of a recession in the last year of Trump's presidency.


Things seemed to level off quick given the strong labor market. There was much larger GDP contraction under trump, and outside of that, it seems like similar conditions now, so I wouldn't start screaming doomsday yet.

This post was edited by Sioux on Jul 28 2022 03:24pm
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Jul 28 2022 03:32pm
Quote (Djunior @ Jul 28 2022 04:14pm)


So you'd rather we went back to lockdowns? Because that's when gas was 1.79 under TFG.
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Jul 28 2022 03:33pm
Quote (Goomshill @ 28 Jul 2022 16:47)
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/28/yellen-says-the-economy-is-not-in-a-recession-despite-gdp-slump.html

https://i.imgur.com/tcpw0jz.jpg

She actually fucking said it lmao
She said it, she said the word



ITS TRANSITORY :D EBIN XDDDD


https://forums.d2jsp.org/topic.php?t=96002360&f=119&p=622325049
it’s too easy to predict these lying swamp demons
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Jul 28 2022 04:11pm
i dont think anyone doubts a recession is likely imminent. by some definitions we're already in one, but who really cares about a definition. what's actually going on?

how bad it'll get, your guess is as good as anyones

i hope you have an in demand skillset. if not, best thing you can do is get one as there is anticipation of a large shortage of talent in the workforce for jobs in the near future

https://www.kornferry.com/insights/this-week-in-leadership/talent-crunch-future-of-work



if you're into the fear mongering angle and full societal collapse, might as well liquify your monopoly money now before it's entirely useless
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Jul 28 2022 05:36pm
Quote (penguinhero @ 28 Jul 2022 18:11)
i dont think anyone doubts a recession is likely imminent. by some definitions we're already in one, but who really cares about a definition. what's actually going on?

how bad it'll get, your guess is as good as anyones

i hope you have an in demand skillset. if not, best thing you can do is get one as there is anticipation of a large shortage of talent in the workforce for jobs in the near future

https://www.kornferry.com/insights/this-week-in-leadership/talent-crunch-future-of-work



if you're into the fear mongering angle and full societal collapse, might as well liquify your monopoly money now before it's entirely useless

it wont be as bad as 2008-2012 or so imo, but it’s reallie not good right now.
and there is no Obama running like in 2008 to put some hope in peoples’ feels
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Jul 28 2022 08:32pm
Quote (Goomshill @ Jul 28 2022 10:40pm)
We are now in the midst of the already obvious, but previously undeclared Biden Recession.
But the very facts that make this recession different from previous ones actually make it far more threatening and potentially catastrophic;

We are currently in a period of consistent GDP shrinkage and high inflation despite extremely high employment and multiple employment numbers, despite high consumer spending, despite very low interest rates, despite a ballooning stock market. This adds up to priming the stage for cataclysmic economic collapse. The fed, and the organic rubber banding of the economy on its own, are both powerless to bounce back from this recession with a soft landing. They can't just slash interest rates. We can't just drive consumer confidence and get people back to work. Everyone is already employed. Minnesota tops the charts with a 98.2% employment rate. But people are being paid in funny money, monopoly dollars. Supply lines are being stretched to their breaking points and property values have bubbled astronomically, we've already poisoned the US dollar with absolutely massive money printing in the past 2 years;

https://i.ibb.co/C9WsvzP/m2.png

We're already being squeezed harder than many people can afford and we're living on borrowed time. The economy has nowhere to go but over the cliff



Hasn’t gas prices came down. Cost of living change at all?
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Jul 28 2022 08:39pm
Only the poor and lower middle class will suffer and they don't have much value to our society anyway.
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Jul 28 2022 08:40pm
Quote (Tarisus @ Jul 28 2022 09:32pm)
Hasn’t gas prices came down. Cost of living change at all?


When Trump left office, the nationwide average gas price was $2.39 / gallon. It went up to a high of over $5 / gallon last month, and currently has "come down" to $4.27 / gallon
We were already entering a recession with gas around $2 and a record strong labor market. All the decades of printing money for borrowed time of artificial growth was catching up with us when the country shut down for Covid. Now we've got all those recovery metrics cranked to being maxed out and we're still in a death spiral.
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Jul 28 2022 08:59pm
I told everyone I knew in 2020 to invest in oil/gas because it would double in price over the next 4 years.

It doubled in price in less than 2 years under biden.
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