Quote (massmarines @ Feb 28 2022 11:17pm)
Out of all ~110 sanctions given until now, 5 changed the behavior of the sanctionee to the wanted behavior.
So no, they don't work, at least not if you can actually believe politicians goals.
Maybe they want them all to double down, who knows.
Iran's a useful case study. It had an authoritarian regime, but not so authoritarian that it didn't require public approval. Russia is in a similar boat. When Iranian standards of living were impacted, animosity towards the regime, already festering, started to get out of hand. It's unfortunate that the United States gave them an out when it did, because the regime may well have fallen. Russia's situation is similar. It needs Russia's approval, and approval within Russia for the war is already falling. Will that lead to the collapse of the regime on its own? Unlikely, but it will keep Russia occupied and not in a position to invade other countries.