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Sep 13 2016 09:01am
Quote (AiNedeSpelCzech @ Sep 12 2016 11:13am)
Pretty great to see Assange trading in all of his goodwill to be biased and try to warp the election tbh, he's always been a scumbag.


He wants to come home, and he realizes that Hillary will never let him back in. But if he plays ball with Trump, maybe he'll pardon him if he wins the presidency.

It's a completely rational decision.
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Sep 13 2016 09:05am
Quote (BardOfXiix @ Sep 13 2016 09:01am)
He wants to come home, and he realizes that Hillary will never let him back in. But if he plays ball with Trump, maybe he'll pardon him if he wins the presidency.

It's a completely rational decision.


I hope he gets the Stannis Baratheon justice, let back in the country as a citizen, and imprisoned as a citizen.
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Sep 13 2016 09:11am
Quote (Voyaging @ Sep 12 2016 08:02pm)
Estimated chance of winning the election.


Based on what?

This number is so vague, I don't even know what to say about it.
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Sep 13 2016 09:21am
Quote (BardOfXiix @ Sep 13 2016 10:01am)
He wants to come home, and he realizes that Hillary will never let him back in. But if he plays ball with Trump, maybe he'll pardon him if he wins the presidency.

It's a completely rational decision.






Recently I read that Snowden was petitioning the Obama Admin for this pardon, so perhaps he'll be home irrespective of the new POTUS. Johnson would pardon him, so 2 out of 3 candidates effectively brings him home.

in related news, Bradley Chelsea Manning just started a hunger strike.

Quote

CNN)Former US Army soldier Chelsea Manning has begun a hunger strike to protest her treatment at the prison where she is serving out a 35-year sentence for leaking a trove of classified documents to WikiLeaks.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/10/us/chelsea-manning-hunger-strike/
On Friday, Manning announced she will not cut her hair or consume food or drink voluntarily except for water and medications unless she is given "minimum standards of dignity, respect, and humanity."
Attorneys for Manning said her demands include receiving written assurances she will receive all of the medically prescribed recommendations for her gender dysphoria.



Obama has set the tone for this to happen without losing face.


Quote
This past week, President Obama provided an explanation to the country regarding two of his executive actions: pardons and fulfilling ignored obligations. The president reasoned that “America is a nation of second chances” and that meeting a standing obligation is not consenting to demands to avoid an unpleasant or threatening situation -- and such an action certainly should not be considered a payment of ransom.

...So early next year on a warm spring afternoon, expect to see photos of Assange and Miss Manning seated at a street side Paris café, conversing, laughing, and sipping on a cup of espresso.

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/08/what_does_assange_really_want.html#ixzz4K9KsLilv
Follow us: @AmericanThinker on Twitter | AmericanThinker on Facebook



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Sep 13 2016 09:24am
Quote (howtodisappearcompletely @ Sep 13 2016 04:11pm)
Based on what?

This number is so vague, I don't even know what to say about it.


yeah, the people who run vegas base odds on such vague things! its not like they made billions as a direct result of offering odds based on complex algorithms that ensure they win at least slightly over 50% of the time, which in this case i assume would mainly consist of a mass of polling data and historical trends!
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Sep 13 2016 09:42am
If that's really the case then you should bet as much as you can as fast as you can.
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Sep 13 2016 09:53am
Quote (dro94 @ Sep 13 2016 05:24pm)
yeah, the people who run vegas base odds on such vague things! its not like they made billions as a direct result of offering odds based on complex algorithms that ensure they win at least slightly over 50% of the time, which in this case i assume would mainly consist of a mass of polling data and historical trends!


And how exactly was I supposed to know who came up with this number, how they did it, and what their history of previous predictions is?

Furthermore, is there an indication that this percentage will keep on dropping at the rate that it has dropped in the past days?
Furthermore, is there a prediction of how long it will take for this number to drop below 50%?
Furthermore, if there is such a prediction and they're confident in it, is there a reason why they're not already reporting the chance to be below 50%?

I'm not saying that there is none of this information or that this information is incorrect -- I'm asking these questions because I'm actually interested in knowing these things before forming an actual opinion about this thread. Right now, the only thing I know is that they're saying that Hillary Clinton's chances of winning are still relatively far above 50%. With just that information, I don't think democrats should be that concerned yet.

I know you're enjoying your personal project of ridiculing every single post I make, and I have nothing against you for doing that, but it gets a little pathetic when you only make yourself look like an idiot.

This post was edited by howtodisappearcompletely on Sep 13 2016 09:58am
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Sep 13 2016 10:06am
Quote (howtodisappearcompletely @ Sep 13 2016 04:53pm)
And how exactly was I supposed to know who came up with this number, how they did it, and what their history of previous predictions is?

Furthermore, is there an indication that this percentage will keep on dropping at the rate that it has dropped in the past days?
Furthermore, is there a prediction of how long it will take for this number to drop below 50%?
Furthermore, if there is such a prediction and they're confident in it, is there a reason why they're not already reporting the chance to be below 50%?

I'm not saying that there is none of this information or that this information is incorrect -- I'm asking these questions because I'm actually interested in knowing these things before forming an actual opinion about this thread. Right now, the only thing I know is that they're saying that Hillary Clinton's chances of winning are still relatively far above 50%. With just that information, I don't think democrats should be that concerned yet.

I know you're enjoying your personal project of ridiculing every single post I make, and I have nothing against you for doing that, but it gets a little pathetic when you only make yourself look like an idiot.


you're making me feel mean now :( well look, if you had made a good post it would have been hard to ridicule. vegas odds are very reliable.

the odds are inclusive of any potential future events, thats the whole point babe. the chance that hillary may poll less than trump is inclusive of the current odds

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Sep 13 2016 10:14am
Quote (dro94 @ Sep 13 2016 06:06pm)
you're making me feel mean now :( well look, if you had made a good post it would have been hard to ridicule. vegas odds are very reliable.

the odds are inclusive of any potential future events, thats the whole point babe. the chance that hillary may poll less than trump is inclusive of the current odds


I'll spell it out for you again:
1: I did not know it was from Vegas odds.
2: I did not yet receive an answer to the questions I immediately asked myself when seeing this thread. These questions are listed in my previous post.
3: The last line of your post condescendingly repeats exactly the sentiment I was trying to convey in my own posts. It is the reason why I don't understand how the current chances of 65% are such a bad thing -- other than the fact that the percentage was higher previously.
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Sep 13 2016 10:19am
Quote (Voyaging @ 12 Sep 2016 09:09)
Vegas is now giving

Clinton -185
Trump +160

which is equivalent to about 65% chance for Clinton, 35% chance for Trump.

This is down from about a 70%/30% or 75%/25% race a couple weeks ago.


I mean, I don't wanna be a dick but
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