is puten still part of the WEF?

JEB!'s early polling numbers were based on high name recognition and strong institutional support. The more voters learned of who he actually is and what he actually stands for, ideology- and policy-wise, the more they rejected him. Keep in mind that Trump only beat his polls because of the tidal support from working-class and disaffected voters - the very type of voter that JEB! was not appealing to.

Also note that the "great Trump voter swap" was a wash or maybe even slightly benefitting Democrats in terms of the popular vote, but massively beneficial to the GOP in the EC. None of the other GOP candidate would have had nearly as much of an edge in the EC as Trump. I do believe that Kasich and Rubio could have beaten her though, based on her own unpopularity. It goes without saying that pious archconservatives like Huckabee or Santorum would never stand a chance in a national election.


Look, I'm not denying that Trump is the clear favorite for the nomination if he runs. But I would say that if both Trump and DeSantis run and there is a contested primary, then DeSantis iimho has a maybe 20-30% chance of wresting the nomination from Trump. He's a good compromise candidate in the sense that he's very good at appealing to the base while also being far more palatable to the party's establishment and moderate factions than Trump.



Trump is losing ground to DeSantis in the polls [1] and is regularly only coming in in the high 40s in primary polls [2]. This far out, and considering his universal name recognition and high approval ratings among GOP voters, these numbers are weak and suggest that there is an opening if the factions who don't want him to be the nominee again consolidate around a single alternative quickly enough.

What is going to change between now and the primary? Well, Trump is getting older and more insane as time goes on. His energy level and sharpness keep declining. Without the bully pulpit or his twitter account, his media outreach beyond his hardcore base who's on alternative platforms is far lower than it was in 2016 or during his presidency. Jan 6 and the way he blew the two Georgia Senate seats does make him toxic to a non-negligible segment of the party, even if almost no one would admit it in public.




[1] https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/07/trump-is-losing-ground-to-desantis-in-poll-after-poll.html
[2] https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/politics/trump-approval-polling-2024.html

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 9 2022 11:48pm

OANN

???

The only true conservative news network out there, much more reliable and reputable than those pussified closet-liberals from Fox News!!!11
https://www.oann.com

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 10 2022 12:01am

Politico reports in 2018 Trump in reaction to HRC emails stiffened the punishment for incorrect document handling


If self own was a person

It's still a weak pretense. As president, Trump had the power to declassify documents as he saw fit, so the "classified" part of "classified documents" cannot be the justification for a step as drastic as raiding and searching the home of a former president. It seems glaringly obvious that this whole thing was just a flimsy pretense. If you ask me, the actual goal of the operation was to find new, incriminating material on Trump and to send a signal to everyone that the swamp will destroy anyone who dares to defy it.

This post was edited by Black XistenZ on Aug 10 2022 12:38am

I have heard some people talking. Sorry I can’t quote references currently that spoke to that point. That no presidents can’t just walk off with whatever documents they want. That some are classified and belong the government. I would have to look into. Lot of radio listening today. Also if you get asked for over a year to return them. First request was May of last year. Some serious inquiries/requests. Etc request to secure them etc. per usual the fat man ignore govt requests. Maybe he should of just complied. Yes laughs for irony