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May 22 2016 12:26pm
Quote (IMCL85 @ May 22 2016 10:15am)
should have never allow him to run as democrat in the first place, democrat need to change rules after this convention. it turn into a joke, some of bernies bot logic r so close to that of trump/republican I cant tell the difference between the two.


I agree with this. In order to run, you have to have been a member of the party for a decade or something like that. We could have avoided both Sanders AND Trump if we had such a rule in place.
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May 22 2016 12:26pm
Quote (thundercock @ May 22 2016 02:06pm)
Hillary will crush Trump in November (347-191 by my map). Trump is getting positive media attention right now since he's not running against anyone at the moment. Hillary, on the other hand, has a political hang-nail and the media keeps making shit up (that the primary is close). After the conventions, Hillary will do much better I think.

I genuinely hope that the Dems destroy Bernie's career after this is over. Strip him of all committee assignments and run someone else against him.


Just like how you said Romney would win rofl.
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May 22 2016 12:27pm
Quote (thundercock @ May 22 2016 10:26am)
I agree with this. In order to run, you have to have been a member of the party for a decade or something like that. We could have avoided both Sanders AND Trump if we had such a rule in place.


3 years sounds fair to me

at least sorta pretend you're one of the team before you start gnawing at the hand that feeds
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May 22 2016 12:29pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ May 22 2016 10:26am)
Just like how you said Romney would win rofl.


The data didn't suggest that at all. Romney had an opening but he couldn't close the deal.
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May 22 2016 12:35pm
Quote (thundercock @ 22 May 2016 13:06)
Hillary will crush Trump in November (347-191 by my map). Trump is getting positive media attention right now since he's not running against anyone at the moment. Hillary, on the other hand, has a political hang-nail and the media keeps making shit up (that the primary is close). After the conventions, Hillary will do much better I think.

I genuinely hope that the Dems destroy Bernie's career after this is over. Strip him of all committee assignments and run someone else against him.


I got Hillary 319-219 right now on my map on 270towin.

I agree with your assessment that Hillary will likely crush Trump in November, but that's employing conventional political wisdom and Trump has defied a lot of conventional wisdom this far. I'm not sure all the standard political rules apply to him, but I do expect Hillary to beat him handily behind women, Hispanics, and Blacks.

I think the ~30% chance betting markets are giving Trump to win are fair. And that's really scary to me. We also can't rule out Hillary's criminal investigation blowing up or her getting indicted, which essentially would be an auto-loss for her and we'd have to see if Biden could beat Trump on short notice.

This post was edited by ThatAlex on May 22 2016 12:36pm
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May 22 2016 12:47pm
Quote (ThatAlex @ May 22 2016 10:35am)
I got Hillary 319-219 right now on my map on 270towin.

I agree with your assessment that Hillary will likely crush Trump in November, but that's employing conventional political wisdom and Trump has defied a lot of convention wisdowm this far. I'm not sure all the standard political rules apply to him, but I do expect Hillary to beat him handily behind women, Hispanics, and Blacks.

I think the ~30% chance betting markets are giving Trump to win are fair. And that's really scary to me. We also can't rule out Hillary's criminal investigation blowing up or her getting indicted, which essentially would be an auto-loss for her and we'd have to see if Biden could beat Trump on short notice.


You must have Trump winning NC and VA then. I think there is probably a less than 1% chance that she gets indicted. Hell, Obama could pardon her for any wrong doing and that would be that.

30% chance is roughly what I have at this point in time. We'll know a hell of a lot more after the convention.
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May 22 2016 12:49pm
Quote (thundercock @ May 22 2016 02:29pm)
The data didn't suggest that at all. Romney had an opening but he couldn't close the deal.

Here's your certification.

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May 22 2016 01:18pm
Quote (EndlessSky @ May 22 2016 10:49am)


I'm sorry, but who exactly are you?
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May 22 2016 01:18pm


“I don’t want to have guns in classrooms. Although, in some cases, teachers should have guns in classrooms,” -Trump
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May 22 2016 03:41pm
Quote (TB12 @ May 22 2016 12:51am)



Lmao, what a savage
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